Pipeline dashboard
Double Chance 12
#SWNJAZ · 82% combined
Started with 108 games today → ended with 1 on the card.
1 candidate surveyed; 1 made the card. Both flags investigated: Forfar (home blowout) confirmed as a real SPFL League Two side, modest inflation only; Celtic B's 0-4 away loss confirmed as against full Premiership Ross County in R32, discounted. No cuts.
108
Games happening today
97(90% kept)
Enough recent match history to analyze
both teams have played at least 3 recent games
↓ −11 too little match history for one or both sides
9(9% kept)
Our model likes it (80%+ chance)
a plain statistical estimate, before any research
↓ −88 below 80% on the plain statistical model
1(11% kept)
Actually bookable on SportyBet
the specific bet type has to exist and be open
↓ −8 not offered, or that specific bet is closed right now
1(100% kept)
Sent to AI for deeper research
up to 35 candidates per day
1(100% kept)
Survived the research
team news, injuries, head-to-head history checked
1(100% kept)
Made today's card
capped at 8 picks per day
Made the card (1)
- East Kilbride v Celtic B82%λ≈2.75 home, 1.95 away. H2H: EKB leads 3-0 (all decisive, 0 draws); h2h_rate_shrunk=81.8%. Home blowout (5-0 FOR) against a real SPFL League Two side — real but modest inflation; home_rate_shrunk=83.3% holds. Celtic B's away 0-4 rout was vs full Premiership Ross County in R32 — discounted as quality mismatch, not representative; away_rate_shrunk=83.3% still fair. Celtic B's open style (BTTS 86% away, scores in 16/17 away games) means high-goal games are the norm, which drives decisive results. No derby/dead-rubber stakes concern. Settled at 82%.
Researched but cut (0)
- Nothing cut -- every researched candidate made the card.
Full shortlist sent to the agent (1)
- East Kilbride v Celtic B (sco.challenge)81.4%