Goal Elo
monitoring only -- not used by any card's picksAn attack/defense Elo variant tracking goal-scoring and goal-conceding strength independently of win/loss. Each team's Attack and Defense sit on a log scale where 0 is exactly league average; ratings update after every match from the gap between actual and expected goals. See scripts/goal_elo/goal_elo.py for the model.
Ratings
27 teams · K=0.025 · league avg 1.176 goals/team/match · home advantage +0.150 log-units (~16%) · seasons 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 · generated 2026-09-19 10:32 UTC
Dot size = matches played (a small dot is a partial-season sample -- promoted/relegated sides). Color is combined attack+defense strength, green (strong) to red (weak). Labeled: top 3 by attack, top 3 by defense.
| Team | Attack | Defense | Atk Elo | Def Elo | GF vs avg defense | GA vs avg attack | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 0.644 | 0.286 | 1822 | 1643 | 2.24 | 0.88 | 152 |
| Como | 0.332 | 0.330 | 1666 | 1665 | 1.64 | 0.84 | 76 |
| AS Roma | 0.329 | 0.333 | 1664 | 1667 | 1.63 | 0.84 | 152 |
| Juventus | 0.233 | 0.306 | 1616 | 1653 | 1.48 | 0.87 | 152 |
| Napoli | 0.200 | 0.289 | 1600 | 1644 | 1.44 | 0.88 | 152 |
| Atalanta | 0.161 | 0.264 | 1580 | 1632 | 1.38 | 0.90 | 152 |
| AC Milan | 0.115 | 0.201 | 1557 | 1600 | 1.32 | 0.96 | 152 |
| Bologna | 0.064 | 0.061 | 1532 | 1530 | 1.25 | 1.11 | 152 |
| Sassuolo | -0.001 | -0.048 | 1499 | 1476 | 1.17 | 1.23 | 114 |
| Fiorentina | -0.012 | 0.080 | 1494 | 1540 | 1.16 | 1.08 | 152 |
| Udinese | -0.020 | 0.090 | 1490 | 1545 | 1.15 | 1.07 | 152 |
| Torino | -0.033 | -0.135 | 1484 | 1432 | 1.14 | 1.35 | 152 |
| Lazio | -0.036 | 0.136 | 1482 | 1568 | 1.13 | 1.03 | 152 |
| Frosinone | -0.044 | -0.110 | 1478 | 1445 | 1.12 | 1.31 | 38 |
| Cagliari | -0.091 | -0.047 | 1454 | 1477 | 1.07 | 1.23 | 114 |
| Spezia | -0.095 | -0.083 | 1452 | 1458 | 1.07 | 1.28 | 39 |
| Salernitana | -0.100 | -0.210 | 1450 | 1395 | 1.06 | 1.45 | 76 |
| Genoa | -0.103 | 0.046 | 1448 | 1523 | 1.06 | 1.12 | 114 |
| Sampdoria | -0.123 | -0.123 | 1439 | 1439 | 1.04 | 1.33 | 38 |
| Venezia | -0.157 | -0.027 | 1421 | 1486 | 1.00 | 1.21 | 38 |
| Empoli | -0.193 | -0.107 | 1404 | 1447 | 0.97 | 1.31 | 114 |
| Monza | -0.245 | -0.224 | 1378 | 1388 | 0.92 | 1.47 | 114 |
| Cremonese | -0.247 | -0.173 | 1376 | 1413 | 0.92 | 1.40 | 76 |
| Parma | -0.279 | 0.084 | 1361 | 1542 | 0.89 | 1.08 | 76 |
| Pisa | -0.325 | -0.363 | 1338 | 1319 | 0.85 | 1.69 | 38 |
| Lecce | -0.355 | 0.026 | 1322 | 1513 | 0.82 | 1.15 | 152 |
| Hellas Verona | -0.418 | -0.083 | 1291 | 1458 | 0.77 | 1.28 | 153 |
Atk/Def Elo = 1500 + raw × 500 -- a cosmetic rescale for familiarity, not a real unit conversion. Chess Elo's 400-point gap has a specific meaning (10:1 win odds) that goal-scoring rate has no equivalent of. The Attack/Defense columns are what the model actually computes with.
2026 over 1.5 check
P(total goals ≥ 2) for every completed match since 2026-01-01 across all 38 tracked leagues -- the mu_home + mu_away → Poisson total construction, same as over-15-card's own math, just fed by Goal Elo's ratings instead. Each prediction used only ratings built from strictly earlier matches, compared against a baseline that knows just the league's average scoring rate and home advantage, no team identity at all.
Honest read: over 1.5 is a low bar in football (the baseline alone already expects it 76% of the time), so knowing which specific teams are playing barely moves the needle here -- skill sits close to 0% pooled, unlike the real, consistent edge Attack/Defense showed on raw expected goals. The model is well calibrated (see below), it just isn't adding much information a viewer didn't already have from the league's baseline rate.
Reliability
Matches bucketed by predicted P(over 1.5); dot = actual over-1.5 rate in that bucket (size = sample). On the dashed line means perfectly calibrated.
Skill vs no-team-identity baseline
1 − (model Brier / baseline Brier). 0% = no better than ignoring which teams are playing; a negative bar means Attack/Defense info actually hurt on that league's calls.
Biggest surprises
Lowest probability the model gave to what actually happened.
- VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-05-09)model said 96% over
- CF Montreal 0-1 Inter Miami (USA - MLS, 2026-07-25)model said 93% over
- Club Brugge KV 1-0 Cercle Brugge (Belgium - Jupiler Pro League, 2026-08-23)model said 92% over
- Barcelona 1-0 Celta Vigo (Spain - La Liga, 2026-04-22)model said 92% over
- FC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-09-05)model said 92% over
- Sirius 0-1 Malmo FF (Sweden - Allsvenskan, 2026-08-31)model said 91% over
- FC Midtjylland 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland (Denmark - Superliga, 2026-03-15)model said 91% over
- Always Ready 1-0 Oriente Petrolero (Bolivia - Primera Division, 2026-04-22)model said 91% over
- Newcastle Jets 1-0 Macarthur (Australia - A-League, 2026-02-22)model said 90% over
- Al-Fateh 0-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Saudi Arabia - Pro League, 2026-03-14)model said 90% over
All predictions — Italy - Serie A (255)
Switch leagues with the tabs above the ratings table; newest match first.
| Date | Match | Score | P(over) | Actual | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Monza v Sassuolo | 2-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-14 | Torino v AS Roma | 0-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-14 | Como v Parma | 2-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-14 | Inter v Udinese | 5-3 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Lecce v Monza | 3-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Napoli v Bologna | 1-0 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-13 | Sassuolo v Juventus | 3-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Genoa v Frosinone | 1-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Lazio v AC Milan | 2-2 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Atalanta v Cagliari | 1-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-11 | Venezia v Fiorentina | 2-4 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-07 | Cagliari v Lecce | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-07 | Udinese v Lazio | 1-2 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Frosinone v Venezia | 3-2 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Parma v Monza | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Bologna v Sassuolo | 2-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Juventus v AC Milan | 1-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Fiorentina v Torino | 1-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Inter v Napoli | 3-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | AS Roma v Atalanta | 2-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-04 | Genoa v Como | 1-4 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-31 | Lecce v AS Roma | 0-4 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-31 | Atalanta v Bologna | 1-0 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-30 | Napoli v Como | 1-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Lazio v Genoa | 1-0 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-30 | Cagliari v Inter | 0-1 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-29 | Sassuolo v Torino | 2-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Fiorentina v Frosinone | 0-3 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Monza v Udinese | 2-3 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Juventus v Parma | 2-0 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-28 | AC Milan v Venezia | 2-0 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-24 | Bologna v Lazio | 0-1 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-24 | AS Roma v Fiorentina | 4-0 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Frosinone v Juventus | 0-1 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-23 | Venezia v Lecce | 0-2 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Atalanta v Sassuolo | 2-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Torino v AC Milan | 1-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Udinese v Como | 1-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Inter v Monza | 4-1 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Genoa v Napoli | 0-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Parma v Cagliari | 0-1 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-24 | Parma v Sassuolo | 1-0 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-24 | Napoli v Udinese | 1-0 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-24 | AC Milan v Cagliari | 1-2 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Torino v Juventus | 2-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Hellas Verona v AS Roma | 0-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Cremonese v Como | 1-4 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Lecce v Genoa | 1-0 | 59% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-23 | Bologna v Inter | 3-3 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Lazio v Pisa | 2-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-22 | Fiorentina v Atalanta | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Genoa v AC Milan | 1-2 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Juventus v Fiorentina | 0-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | AS Roma v Lazio | 2-0 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Pisa v Napoli | 0-3 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Como v Parma | 1-0 | 70% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-17 | Inter v Hellas Verona | 1-1 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Atalanta v Bologna | 0-1 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-17 | Sassuolo v Lecce | 2-3 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Cagliari v Torino | 2-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Udinese v Cremonese | 0-1 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-11 | Napoli v Bologna | 2-3 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Hellas Verona v Como | 0-1 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-10 | Fiorentina v Genoa | 0-0 | 70% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-10 | Cremonese v Pisa | 3-0 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Parma v AS Roma | 2-3 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | AC Milan v Atalanta | 2-3 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Cagliari v Udinese | 0-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Lazio v Inter | 0-3 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Lecce v Juventus | 0-1 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-08 | Torino v Sassuolo | 2-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-04 | Cremonese v Lazio | 1-2 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-04 | AS Roma v Fiorentina | 4-0 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Bologna v Cagliari | 0-0 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-03 | Sassuolo v AC Milan | 2-0 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Juventus v Hellas Verona | 1-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Inter v Parma | 2-0 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Udinese v Torino | 2-0 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Como v Napoli | 0-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-02 | Atalanta v Genoa | 0-0 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-01 | Pisa v Lecce | 1-2 | 60% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-27 | Cagliari v Atalanta | 3-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-27 | Lazio v Udinese | 3-3 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Fiorentina v Sassuolo | 0-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-26 | Genoa v Como | 0-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Torino v Inter | 2-2 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | AC Milan v Juventus | 0-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-25 | Parma v Pisa | 1-0 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-25 | Bologna v AS Roma | 0-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Hellas Verona v Lecce | 0-0 | 57% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-24 | Napoli v Cremonese | 4-0 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-20 | Lecce v Fiorentina | 1-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | Cremonese v Torino | 0-0 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-19 | Hellas Verona v AC Milan | 0-1 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-19 | Pisa v Genoa | 1-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | Juventus v Bologna | 2-0 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | Udinese v Parma | 0-1 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-18 | Napoli v Lazio | 0-2 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | AS Roma v Atalanta | 1-1 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-17 | Sassuolo v Como | 2-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-17 | Inter v Cagliari | 3-0 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-13 | Fiorentina v Lazio | 1-0 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-12 | Genoa v Sassuolo | 2-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Parma v Napoli | 1-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Bologna v Lecce | 2-0 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Como v Inter | 3-4 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Cagliari v Cremonese | 1-0 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-11 | Torino v Hellas Verona | 2-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | AC Milan v Udinese | 0-3 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Atalanta v Juventus | 0-1 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-10 | AS Roma v Pisa | 3-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-06 | Udinese v Como | 0-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-06 | Lecce v Atalanta | 0-3 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-06 | Juventus v Genoa | 2-0 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-06 | Napoli v AC Milan | 1-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-05 | Cremonese v Bologna | 1-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | Pisa v Torino | 0-1 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-05 | Inter v AS Roma | 5-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Sassuolo v Cagliari | 2-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Hellas Verona v Fiorentina | 0-1 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-04 | Lazio v Parma | 1-1 | 60% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Como v Pisa | 5-0 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Atalanta v Hellas Verona | 1-0 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-22 | Bologna v Lazio | 0-2 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | AS Roma v Lecce | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-22 | Fiorentina v Inter | 1-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Parma v Cremonese | 0-2 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | AC Milan v Torino | 3-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Juventus v Sassuolo | 1-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-20 | Cagliari v Napoli | 0-1 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-20 | Genoa v Udinese | 0-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-16 | Cremonese v Fiorentina | 1-4 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Hellas Verona v Genoa | 0-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Sassuolo v Bologna | 0-1 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-15 | Pisa v Cagliari | 3-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Como v AS Roma | 2-1 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Lazio v AC Milan | 1-0 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-14 | Inter v Atalanta | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Napoli v Lecce | 2-1 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Udinese v Juventus | 0-1 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-13 | Torino v Parma | 4-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-09 | Lazio v Sassuolo | 2-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Lecce v Cremonese | 2-1 | 57% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Bologna v Hellas Verona | 1-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Fiorentina v Parma | 0-0 | 68% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-08 | Genoa v AS Roma | 2-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | AC Milan v Inter | 1-0 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-07 | Cagliari v Como | 1-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | Atalanta v Udinese | 2-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | Juventus v Pisa | 4-0 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-06 | Napoli v Torino | 2-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-02 | Pisa v Bologna | 0-1 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-02 | Udinese v Fiorentina | 3-0 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Cremonese v AC Milan | 0-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Sassuolo v Atalanta | 2-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Torino v Lazio | 2-0 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | AS Roma v Juventus | 3-3 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Como v Lecce | 3-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Hellas Verona v Napoli | 1-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Inter v Genoa | 2-0 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-27 | Parma v Cagliari | 1-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-23 | Fiorentina v Pisa | 1-0 | 78% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-23 | Bologna v Udinese | 1-0 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-22 | Genoa v Torino | 3-0 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Atalanta v Napoli | 2-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | AC Milan v Parma | 0-1 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-22 | AS Roma v Cremonese | 3-0 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Juventus v Como | 0-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Lecce v Inter | 0-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Cagliari v Lazio | 0-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-20 | Sassuolo v Hellas Verona | 3-0 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-18 | AC Milan v Como | 1-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-16 | Cagliari v Lecce | 0-2 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Udinese v Sassuolo | 1-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Cremonese v Genoa | 0-0 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-15 | Parma v Hellas Verona | 2-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Torino v Bologna | 1-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Napoli v AS Roma | 2-2 | 60% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Como v Fiorentina | 1-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Lazio v Atalanta | 0-2 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Inter v Juventus | 3-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-13 | Pisa v AC Milan | 1-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-09 | Atalanta v Cremonese | 2-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-09 | AS Roma v Cagliari | 2-0 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Bologna v Parma | 0-1 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-08 | Lecce v Udinese | 2-1 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Sassuolo v Inter | 0-5 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Juventus v Lazio | 2-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-07 | Genoa v Napoli | 2-3 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-07 | Fiorentina v Torino | 2-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-06 | Hellas Verona v Pisa | 0-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-03 | Bologna v AC Milan | 0-3 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-02 | Udinese v AS Roma | 1-0 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-01 | Torino v Lecce | 1-0 | 61% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-01 | Como v Atalanta | 0-0 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-01 | Cremonese v Inter | 0-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-01 | Parma v Juventus | 1-4 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-31 | Pisa v Sassuolo | 1-3 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-31 | Napoli v Fiorentina | 2-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-31 | Cagliari v Hellas Verona | 4-0 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-30 | Lazio v Genoa | 3-2 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-26 | Hellas Verona v Udinese | 1-3 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | Sassuolo v Cremonese | 1-0 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-25 | Genoa v Bologna | 3-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | Atalanta v Parma | 4-0 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | Juventus v Napoli | 3-0 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | AS Roma v AC Milan | 1-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | Como v Torino | 6-0 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | Fiorentina v Cagliari | 1-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | Lecce v Lazio | 0-0 | 57% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-23 | Inter v Pisa | 6-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-19 | Cremonese v Hellas Verona | 0-0 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-19 | Lazio v Como | 0-3 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-18 | Parma v Genoa | 0-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-18 | Bologna v Fiorentina | 1-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-18 | Torino v AS Roma | 0-2 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-18 | AC Milan v Lecce | 1-0 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-17 | Udinese v Inter | 0-1 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-17 | Napoli v Sassuolo | 1-0 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-17 | Cagliari v Juventus | 1-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-16 | Pisa v Atalanta | 1-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-15 | Hellas Verona v Bologna | 2-3 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-15 | Como v AC Milan | 1-3 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-14 | Napoli v Parma | 0-0 | 68% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-14 | Inter v Lecce | 1-0 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-12 | Genoa v Cagliari | 3-0 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-12 | Juventus v Cremonese | 5-0 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-11 | Lecce v Parma | 1-2 | 57% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-11 | Fiorentina v AC Milan | 1-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-11 | Hellas Verona v Lazio | 0-1 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-11 | Inter v Napoli | 2-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-10 | Udinese v Pisa | 2-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-10 | Como v Bologna | 1-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-10 | AS Roma v Sassuolo | 2-0 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-10 | Atalanta v Torino | 2-0 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-08 | Cremonese v Cagliari | 2-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-08 | AC Milan v Genoa | 1-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-07 | Napoli v Hellas Verona | 2-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-07 | Bologna v Atalanta | 0-2 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-07 | Lazio v Fiorentina | 2-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-07 | Torino v Udinese | 1-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-07 | Parma v Inter | 0-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-06 | Pisa v Como | 0-3 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-06 | Lecce v AS Roma | 0-2 | 58% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-06 | Sassuolo v Juventus | 0-3 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-04 | Lazio v Napoli | 0-2 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-04 | Fiorentina v Cremonese | 1-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-04 | Hellas Verona v Torino | 0-3 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-04 | Inter v Bologna | 3-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-03 | Como v Udinese | 1-0 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-03 | Sassuolo v Parma | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-03 | Genoa v Pisa | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-03 | Juventus v Lecce | 1-1 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-03 | Atalanta v AS Roma | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-02 | Cagliari v AC Milan | 0-1 | 76% | under | ✗ |