Goal Elo
monitoring only -- not used by any card's picksAn attack/defense Elo variant tracking goal-scoring and goal-conceding strength independently of win/loss. Each team's Attack and Defense sit on a log scale where 0 is exactly league average; ratings update after every match from the gap between actual and expected goals. See scripts/goal_elo/goal_elo.py for the model.
Ratings
26 teams · K=0.025 · league avg 1.126 goals/team/match · home advantage +0.281 log-units (~32%) · seasons 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 · generated 2026-09-19 10:32 UTC
Dot size = matches played (a small dot is a partial-season sample -- promoted/relegated sides). Color is combined attack+defense strength, green (strong) to red (weak). Labeled: top 3 by attack, top 3 by defense.
| Team | Attack | Defense | Atk Elo | Def Elo | GF vs avg defense | GA vs avg attack | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 0.576 | 0.288 | 1788 | 1644 | 2.00 | 0.84 | 152 |
| Real Madrid | 0.409 | 0.302 | 1704 | 1651 | 1.70 | 0.83 | 152 |
| Villarreal | 0.402 | 0.050 | 1701 | 1525 | 1.68 | 1.07 | 152 |
| Atletico Madrid | 0.221 | 0.135 | 1610 | 1568 | 1.40 | 0.98 | 152 |
| Real Betis | 0.188 | 0.059 | 1594 | 1530 | 1.36 | 1.06 | 152 |
| Real Sociedad | 0.166 | -0.156 | 1583 | 1422 | 1.33 | 1.32 | 152 |
| Celta Vigo | 0.120 | 0.044 | 1560 | 1522 | 1.27 | 1.08 | 152 |
| Levante | 0.019 | -0.081 | 1510 | 1460 | 1.15 | 1.22 | 38 |
| Valencia | 0.019 | 0.019 | 1510 | 1509 | 1.15 | 1.11 | 152 |
| Elche | 0.002 | -0.087 | 1501 | 1456 | 1.13 | 1.23 | 76 |
| Almeria | -0.004 | -0.142 | 1498 | 1429 | 1.12 | 1.30 | 76 |
| Athletic Club | -0.033 | -0.035 | 1483 | 1483 | 1.09 | 1.17 | 152 |
| Osasuna | -0.045 | -0.000 | 1477 | 1500 | 1.08 | 1.13 | 152 |
| Mallorca | -0.054 | -0.010 | 1473 | 1495 | 1.07 | 1.14 | 152 |
| Alaves | -0.056 | -0.040 | 1472 | 1480 | 1.07 | 1.17 | 114 |
| Sevilla | -0.071 | -0.074 | 1464 | 1463 | 1.05 | 1.21 | 152 |
| Leganes | -0.074 | -0.036 | 1463 | 1482 | 1.05 | 1.17 | 38 |
| Granada CF | -0.088 | -0.192 | 1456 | 1404 | 1.03 | 1.36 | 38 |
| Rayo Vallecano | -0.113 | 0.176 | 1443 | 1588 | 1.01 | 0.94 | 152 |
| Espanyol | -0.114 | -0.035 | 1443 | 1483 | 1.01 | 1.17 | 114 |
| Girona | -0.125 | 0.026 | 1438 | 1513 | 0.99 | 1.10 | 152 |
| Las Palmas | -0.156 | -0.075 | 1422 | 1462 | 0.96 | 1.21 | 76 |
| Cadiz | -0.215 | -0.034 | 1393 | 1483 | 0.91 | 1.17 | 76 |
| Valladolid | -0.262 | -0.379 | 1369 | 1310 | 0.87 | 1.65 | 76 |
| Getafe | -0.314 | 0.294 | 1343 | 1647 | 0.82 | 0.84 | 152 |
| Oviedo | -0.327 | -0.091 | 1336 | 1455 | 0.81 | 1.23 | 38 |
Atk/Def Elo = 1500 + raw × 500 -- a cosmetic rescale for familiarity, not a real unit conversion. Chess Elo's 400-point gap has a specific meaning (10:1 win odds) that goal-scoring rate has no equivalent of. The Attack/Defense columns are what the model actually computes with.
2026 over 1.5 check
P(total goals ≥ 2) for every completed match since 2026-01-01 across all 38 tracked leagues -- the mu_home + mu_away → Poisson total construction, same as over-15-card's own math, just fed by Goal Elo's ratings instead. Each prediction used only ratings built from strictly earlier matches, compared against a baseline that knows just the league's average scoring rate and home advantage, no team identity at all.
Honest read: over 1.5 is a low bar in football (the baseline alone already expects it 76% of the time), so knowing which specific teams are playing barely moves the needle here -- skill sits close to 0% pooled, unlike the real, consistent edge Attack/Defense showed on raw expected goals. The model is well calibrated (see below), it just isn't adding much information a viewer didn't already have from the league's baseline rate.
Reliability
Matches bucketed by predicted P(over 1.5); dot = actual over-1.5 rate in that bucket (size = sample). On the dashed line means perfectly calibrated.
Skill vs no-team-identity baseline
1 − (model Brier / baseline Brier). 0% = no better than ignoring which teams are playing; a negative bar means Attack/Defense info actually hurt on that league's calls.
Biggest surprises
Lowest probability the model gave to what actually happened.
- VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-05-09)model said 96% over
- CF Montreal 0-1 Inter Miami (USA - MLS, 2026-07-25)model said 93% over
- Club Brugge KV 1-0 Cercle Brugge (Belgium - Jupiler Pro League, 2026-08-23)model said 92% over
- Barcelona 1-0 Celta Vigo (Spain - La Liga, 2026-04-22)model said 92% over
- FC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-09-05)model said 92% over
- Sirius 0-1 Malmo FF (Sweden - Allsvenskan, 2026-08-31)model said 91% over
- FC Midtjylland 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland (Denmark - Superliga, 2026-03-15)model said 91% over
- Always Ready 1-0 Oriente Petrolero (Bolivia - Primera Division, 2026-04-22)model said 91% over
- Newcastle Jets 1-0 Macarthur (Australia - A-League, 2026-02-22)model said 90% over
- Al-Fateh 0-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Saudi Arabia - Pro League, 2026-03-14)model said 90% over
All predictions — Spain - La Liga (269)
Switch leagues with the tabs above the ratings table; newest match first.
| Date | Match | Score | P(over) | Actual | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Espanyol v Elche | 1-3 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-17 | Real Betis v Getafe | 1-0 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-17 | Malaga v Villarreal | 1-3 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-16 | Atletico Madrid v Osasuna | 4-0 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-16 | Deportivo La Coruna v Sevilla | 0-1 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-16 | Barcelona v Racing Santander | 7-2 | 91% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-15 | Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol | 2-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-15 | Alaves v Valencia | 0-1 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche v Real Madrid | 2-3 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-14 | Villarreal v Real Betis | 1-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Celta Vigo v Malaga | 1-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Levante v Barcelona | 2-4 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Getafe v Deportivo La Coruna | 1-1 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid | 0-3 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Racing Santander v Alaves | 2-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Osasuna v Espanyol | 0-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Athletic Club v Elche | 1-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano | 4-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-11 | Sevilla v Valencia | 1-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-07 | Getafe v Celta Vigo | 1-1 | 59% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-07 | Elche v Real Sociedad | 2-3 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Valencia v Barcelona | 0-5 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Malaga v Levante | 0-0 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-06 | Alaves v Osasuna | 5-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Espanyol v Sevilla | 1-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Athletic Club v Atletico Madrid | 3-0 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Rayo Vallecano v Racing Santander | 3-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Villarreal v Deportivo La Coruna | 2-3 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-04 | Real Betis v Real Madrid | 1-0 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-03 | Real Sociedad v Celta Vigo | 0-0 | 78% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-31 | Osasuna v Getafe | 1-0 | 60% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-31 | Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano | 5-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Real Madrid v Malaga | 4-0 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Deportivo La Coruna v Valencia | 3-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Celta Vigo v Athletic Club | 0-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Levante v Real Betis | 5-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Real Sociedad v Espanyol | 2-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Sevilla v Atletico Madrid | 1-3 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-28 | Racing Santander v Elche | 3-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-28 | Alaves v Villarreal | 1-0 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-27 | Celta Vigo v Osasuna | 1-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-27 | Barcelona v Athletic Club | 2-0 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid v Real Sociedad | 4-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-25 | Valencia v Real Betis | 0-1 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-24 | Osasuna v Levante | 0-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-24 | Malaga v Deportivo La Coruna | 1-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Atletico Madrid v Villarreal | 2-2 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Getafe v Racing Santander | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-23 | Elche v Barcelona | 0-5 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Athletic Club v Sevilla | 1-3 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Valencia v Celta Vigo | 0-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-22 | Espanyol v Real Madrid | 1-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-21 | Real Betis v Real Sociedad | 1-0 | 82% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-20 | Rayo Vallecano v Alaves | 1-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-19 | Atletico Madrid v Malaga | 2-0 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-17 | Deportivo La Coruna v Elche | 1-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | Racing Santander v Villarreal | 2-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | Espanyol v Levante | 3-0 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Alaves v Getafe | 3-0 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano | 2-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Villarreal v Atletico Madrid | 5-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Valencia v Barcelona | 3-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Celta Vigo v Sevilla | 1-0 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-23 | Espanyol v Real Sociedad | 1-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Real Madrid v Athletic Club | 4-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Alaves v Rayo Vallecano | 1-2 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Real Betis v Levante | 2-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Getafe v Osasuna | 1-0 | 58% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-23 | Girona v Elche | 1-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Mallorca v Oviedo | 3-0 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Atletico Madrid v Girona | 1-0 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-17 | Athletic Club v Celta Vigo | 1-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Sevilla v Real Madrid | 0-1 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-17 | Levante v Mallorca | 2-0 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Real Sociedad v Valencia | 3-4 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Oviedo v Alaves | 0-1 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-17 | Osasuna v Espanyol | 1-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal | 2-0 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Elche v Getafe | 1-0 | 62% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-17 | Barcelona v Real Betis | 3-1 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-14 | Valencia v Rayo Vallecano | 1-1 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-14 | Girona v Real Sociedad | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-14 | Real Madrid v Oviedo | 2-0 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-13 | Villarreal v Sevilla | 2-3 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-13 | Espanyol v Athletic Club | 2-0 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-13 | Alaves v Barcelona | 1-0 | 85% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-13 | Getafe v Mallorca | 3-1 | 55% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-12 | Celta Vigo v Levante | 2-3 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-12 | Real Betis v Elche | 2-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-12 | Osasuna v Atletico Madrid | 1-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-11 | Rayo Vallecano v Girona | 1-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Mallorca v Villarreal | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Athletic Club v Valencia | 0-1 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-10 | Oviedo v Getafe | 0-0 | 54% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-10 | Barcelona v Real Madrid | 2-0 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Elche v Alaves | 1-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Sevilla v Espanyol | 2-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Atletico Madrid v Celta Vigo | 0-1 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-09 | Real Sociedad v Real Betis | 2-2 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-08 | Levante v Osasuna | 3-2 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-04 | Sevilla v Real Sociedad | 1-0 | 82% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-03 | Celta Vigo v Elche | 3-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Getafe v Rayo Vallecano | 0-2 | 51% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Real Betis v Oviedo | 3-0 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Espanyol v Real Madrid | 0-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Villarreal v Levante | 5-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Valencia v Atletico Madrid | 0-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Alaves v Athletic Club | 2-4 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Osasuna v Barcelona | 1-2 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-01 | Girona v Mallorca | 0-1 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-27 | Espanyol v Levante | 0-0 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-26 | Rayo Vallecano v Real Sociedad | 3-3 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Oviedo v Elche | 1-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Osasuna v Sevilla | 2-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Villarreal v Celta Vigo | 2-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Alaves v Mallorca | 2-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Getafe v Barcelona | 0-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Valencia v Girona | 2-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Atletico Madrid v Athletic Club | 3-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-24 | Real Betis v Real Madrid | 1-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-23 | Levante v Sevilla | 2-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-23 | Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol | 1-0 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-23 | Oviedo v Villarreal | 1-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-22 | Elche v Atletico Madrid | 3-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-22 | Real Sociedad v Getafe | 0-1 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-22 | Barcelona v Celta Vigo | 1-0 | 92% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-21 | Athletic Club v Osasuna | 1-0 | 68% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-21 | Mallorca v Valencia | 1-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-21 | Real Madrid v Alaves | 2-1 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-21 | Girona v Real Betis | 2-3 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-13 | Levante v Getafe | 1-0 | 61% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-12 | Osasuna v Real Betis | 1-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Mallorca v Rayo Vallecano | 3-0 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Celta Vigo v Oviedo | 0-3 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Athletic Club v Villarreal | 1-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Real Sociedad v Alaves | 3-3 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Elche v Valencia | 1-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-11 | Barcelona v Espanyol | 4-1 | 91% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Sevilla v Atletico Madrid | 2-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-10 | Real Madrid v Girona | 1-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-06 | Girona v Villarreal | 1-0 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-05 | Getafe v Athletic Club | 2-0 | 56% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | Valencia v Celta Vigo | 2-3 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | Oviedo v Sevilla | 1-0 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-05 | Alaves v Osasuna | 2-2 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Real Sociedad v Levante | 2-0 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Mallorca v Real Madrid | 2-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Real Betis v Espanyol | 0-0 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-04 | Atletico Madrid v Barcelona | 1-2 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-03 | Rayo Vallecano v Elche | 1-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-22 | Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano | 1-0 | 86% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-22 | Celta Vigo v Alaves | 3-4 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Athletic Club v Real Betis | 2-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid | 3-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Elche v Mallorca | 2-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Espanyol v Getafe | 1-2 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Levante v Oviedo | 4-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Osasuna v Girona | 1-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-21 | Sevilla v Valencia | 0-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-20 | Villarreal v Real Sociedad | 3-1 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-16 | Rayo Vallecano v Levante | 1-1 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Mallorca v Espanyol | 2-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Barcelona v Sevilla | 5-2 | 92% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Real Betis v Celta Vigo | 1-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Real Sociedad v Osasuna | 3-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Girona v Athletic Club | 3-0 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Atletico Madrid v Getafe | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-14 | Oviedo v Valencia | 1-0 | 68% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-14 | Real Madrid v Elche | 4-1 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-13 | Alaves v Villarreal | 1-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-09 | Espanyol v Oviedo | 1-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Villarreal v Elche | 2-1 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Getafe v Real Betis | 2-0 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano | 1-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Valencia v Alaves | 3-2 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | Osasuna v Mallorca | 2-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | Levante v Girona | 1-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad | 3-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | Athletic Club v Barcelona | 0-1 | 83% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-06 | Celta Vigo v Real Madrid | 1-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-04 | Rayo Vallecano v Oviedo | 3-0 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-02 | Real Madrid v Getafe | 0-1 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-01 | Elche v Espanyol | 2-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Valencia v Osasuna | 1-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-01 | Real Betis v Sevilla | 2-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Girona v Celta Vigo | 1-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club | 1-1 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Barcelona v Villarreal | 4-1 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Mallorca v Real Sociedad | 0-1 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-28 | Oviedo v Atletico Madrid | 0-1 | 70% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-27 | Levante v Alaves | 2-0 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-23 | Alaves v Girona | 2-2 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Getafe v Sevilla | 0-1 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-22 | Barcelona v Levante | 3-0 | 92% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Celta Vigo v Mallorca | 2-0 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Villarreal v Valencia | 2-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Real Sociedad v Oviedo | 3-3 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Real Betis v Rayo Vallecano | 1-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Osasuna v Real Madrid | 2-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Atletico Madrid v Espanyol | 4-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-20 | Athletic Club v Elche | 2-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-18 | Levante v Villarreal | 0-1 | 83% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-16 | Girona v Barcelona | 2-1 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Oviedo v Athletic Club | 1-2 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Rayo Vallecano v Atletico Madrid | 3-0 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Levante v Valencia | 0-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Mallorca v Real Betis | 1-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Espanyol v Celta Vigo | 2-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Getafe v Villarreal | 2-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Sevilla v Alaves | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Real Madrid v Real Sociedad | 4-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-13 | Elche v Osasuna | 0-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-09 | Villarreal v Espanyol | 4-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Alaves v Getafe | 0-2 | 54% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Athletic Club v Levante | 4-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Sevilla v Girona | 1-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Atletico Madrid v Real Betis | 0-1 | 78% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-08 | Valencia v Real Madrid | 0-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-07 | Barcelona v Mallorca | 3-0 | 91% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-07 | Real Sociedad v Elche | 3-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-06 | Celta Vigo v Osasuna | 1-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-02 | Mallorca v Sevilla | 4-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-01 | Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano | 2-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-01 | Real Betis v Valencia | 2-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-01 | Getafe v Celta Vigo | 0-0 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-01 | Athletic Club v Real Sociedad | 1-1 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-31 | Oviedo v Girona | 1-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-31 | Osasuna v Villarreal | 2-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-31 | Levante v Atletico Madrid | 0-0 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-31 | Elche v Barcelona | 1-3 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-30 | Espanyol v Alaves | 1-2 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-26 | Girona v Getafe | 1-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | Atletico Madrid v Mallorca | 3-0 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | Barcelona v Oviedo | 3-0 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | Real Sociedad v Celta Vigo | 3-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | Alaves v Real Betis | 2-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | Rayo Vallecano v Osasuna | 1-3 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | Valencia v Espanyol | 3-2 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | Sevilla v Athletic Club | 2-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | Villarreal v Real Madrid | 0-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-23 | Levante v Elche | 3-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-19 | Elche v Sevilla | 2-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-18 | Getafe v Valencia | 0-1 | 63% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-18 | Atletico Madrid v Alaves | 1-0 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-18 | Celta Vigo v Rayo Vallecano | 3-0 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-18 | Real Sociedad v Barcelona | 2-1 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-17 | Real Madrid v Levante | 2-0 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-17 | Mallorca v Athletic Club | 3-2 | 60% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-17 | Osasuna v Oviedo | 3-2 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-17 | Real Betis v Villarreal | 2-0 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-16 | Espanyol v Girona | 0-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-12 | Sevilla v Celta Vigo | 0-1 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-11 | Rayo Vallecano v Mallorca | 2-1 | 58% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-11 | Levante v Espanyol | 1-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-10 | Oviedo v Real Betis | 1-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-10 | Villarreal v Alaves | 3-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-10 | Girona v Osasuna | 1-0 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-10 | Valencia v Elche | 1-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-09 | Getafe v Real Sociedad | 1-2 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-04 | Sevilla v Levante | 0-3 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-04 | Real Madrid v Real Betis | 5-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-04 | Alaves v Oviedo | 1-1 | 58% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-04 | Mallorca v Girona | 1-2 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-04 | Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid | 1-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-03 | Celta Vigo v Valencia | 4-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-03 | Osasuna v Athletic Club | 1-1 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-03 | Elche v Villarreal | 1-3 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-03 | Espanyol v Barcelona | 0-2 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-02 | Rayo Vallecano v Getafe | 1-1 | 54% | over | ✓ |