Goal Elo
monitoring only -- not used by any card's picksAn attack/defense Elo variant tracking goal-scoring and goal-conceding strength independently of win/loss. Each team's Attack and Defense sit on a log scale where 0 is exactly league average; ratings update after every match from the gap between actual and expected goals. See scripts/goal_elo/goal_elo.py for the model.
Ratings
32 teams · K=0.025 · league avg 1.366 goals/team/match · home advantage +0.248 log-units (~28%) · seasons 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 · generated 2026-09-19 10:32 UTC
Dot size = matches played (a small dot is a partial-season sample -- promoted/relegated sides). Color is combined attack+defense strength, green (strong) to red (weak). Labeled: top 3 by attack, top 3 by defense.
| Team | Attack | Defense | Atk Elo | Def Elo | GF vs avg defense | GA vs avg attack | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 0.709 | 0.197 | 1855 | 1598 | 2.78 | 1.12 | 136 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 0.284 | 0.098 | 1642 | 1549 | 1.81 | 1.24 | 138 |
| Feyenoord | 0.225 | 0.251 | 1613 | 1626 | 1.71 | 1.06 | 136 |
| Twente | 0.198 | 0.250 | 1599 | 1625 | 1.67 | 1.06 | 142 |
| Ajax | 0.145 | 0.334 | 1572 | 1667 | 1.58 | 0.98 | 138 |
| Utrecht | 0.119 | 0.257 | 1559 | 1628 | 1.54 | 1.06 | 142 |
| AZ Alkmaar | 0.114 | 0.147 | 1557 | 1574 | 1.53 | 1.18 | 138 |
| Heerenveen | 0.080 | 0.043 | 1540 | 1521 | 1.48 | 1.31 | 140 |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 0.069 | 0.075 | 1534 | 1538 | 1.46 | 1.27 | 138 |
| Telstar | 0.038 | 0.068 | 1519 | 1534 | 1.42 | 1.28 | 40 |
| VVV Venlo | 0.006 | 0.003 | 1503 | 1501 | 1.37 | 1.36 | 4 |
| FC Eindhoven | -0.009 | 0.000 | 1495 | 1500 | 1.35 | 1.37 | 2 |
| MVV | -0.017 | -0.017 | 1491 | 1492 | 1.34 | 1.39 | 2 |
| Dordrecht | -0.022 | 0.019 | 1489 | 1509 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 6 |
| Roda | -0.025 | -0.059 | 1487 | 1470 | 1.33 | 1.45 | 2 |
| Excelsior | -0.028 | 0.001 | 1486 | 1500 | 1.33 | 1.36 | 106 |
| De Graafschap | -0.043 | -0.003 | 1478 | 1498 | 1.31 | 1.37 | 4 |
| Waalwijk | -0.046 | -0.151 | 1477 | 1424 | 1.30 | 1.59 | 102 |
| ADO Den Haag | -0.056 | -0.076 | 1472 | 1462 | 1.29 | 1.47 | 6 |
| Den Bosch | -0.056 | 0.042 | 1472 | 1521 | 1.29 | 1.31 | 4 |
| Groningen | -0.063 | 0.145 | 1468 | 1573 | 1.28 | 1.18 | 103 |
| Emmen | -0.100 | -0.034 | 1450 | 1483 | 1.24 | 1.41 | 42 |
| Fortuna Sittard | -0.104 | -0.094 | 1448 | 1453 | 1.23 | 1.50 | 136 |
| PEC Zwolle | -0.136 | -0.205 | 1432 | 1398 | 1.19 | 1.68 | 102 |
| Willem II | -0.138 | -0.096 | 1431 | 1452 | 1.19 | 1.50 | 40 |
| Vitesse | -0.151 | -0.100 | 1424 | 1450 | 1.17 | 1.51 | 68 |
| Cambuur | -0.154 | -0.072 | 1423 | 1464 | 1.17 | 1.47 | 36 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | -0.201 | -0.055 | 1399 | 1472 | 1.12 | 1.44 | 141 |
| NAC Breda | -0.272 | -0.037 | 1364 | 1482 | 1.04 | 1.42 | 78 |
| FC Volendam | -0.305 | 0.015 | 1348 | 1508 | 1.01 | 1.35 | 102 |
| Heracles | -0.312 | -0.344 | 1344 | 1328 | 1.00 | 1.93 | 102 |
| Almere City FC | -0.325 | -0.027 | 1337 | 1486 | 0.99 | 1.40 | 74 |
Atk/Def Elo = 1500 + raw × 500 -- a cosmetic rescale for familiarity, not a real unit conversion. Chess Elo's 400-point gap has a specific meaning (10:1 win odds) that goal-scoring rate has no equivalent of. The Attack/Defense columns are what the model actually computes with.
2026 over 1.5 check
P(total goals ≥ 2) for every completed match since 2026-01-01 across all 38 tracked leagues -- the mu_home + mu_away → Poisson total construction, same as over-15-card's own math, just fed by Goal Elo's ratings instead. Each prediction used only ratings built from strictly earlier matches, compared against a baseline that knows just the league's average scoring rate and home advantage, no team identity at all.
Honest read: over 1.5 is a low bar in football (the baseline alone already expects it 76% of the time), so knowing which specific teams are playing barely moves the needle here -- skill sits close to 0% pooled, unlike the real, consistent edge Attack/Defense showed on raw expected goals. The model is well calibrated (see below), it just isn't adding much information a viewer didn't already have from the league's baseline rate.
Reliability
Matches bucketed by predicted P(over 1.5); dot = actual over-1.5 rate in that bucket (size = sample). On the dashed line means perfectly calibrated.
Skill vs no-team-identity baseline
1 − (model Brier / baseline Brier). 0% = no better than ignoring which teams are playing; a negative bar means Attack/Defense info actually hurt on that league's calls.
Biggest surprises
Lowest probability the model gave to what actually happened.
- VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-05-09)model said 96% over
- CF Montreal 0-1 Inter Miami (USA - MLS, 2026-07-25)model said 93% over
- Club Brugge KV 1-0 Cercle Brugge (Belgium - Jupiler Pro League, 2026-08-23)model said 92% over
- Barcelona 1-0 Celta Vigo (Spain - La Liga, 2026-04-22)model said 92% over
- FC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-09-05)model said 92% over
- Sirius 0-1 Malmo FF (Sweden - Allsvenskan, 2026-08-31)model said 91% over
- FC Midtjylland 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland (Denmark - Superliga, 2026-03-15)model said 91% over
- Always Ready 1-0 Oriente Petrolero (Bolivia - Primera Division, 2026-04-22)model said 91% over
- Newcastle Jets 1-0 Macarthur (Australia - A-League, 2026-02-22)model said 90% over
- Al-Fateh 0-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Saudi Arabia - Pro League, 2026-03-14)model said 90% over
All predictions — Netherlands - Eredivisie (212)
Switch leagues with the tabs above the ratings table; newest match first.
| Date | Match | Score | P(over) | Actual | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Groningen v PEC Zwolle | 3-0 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-15 | Ajax v Willem II | 5-1 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Excelsior v Utrecht | 1-2 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Heerenveen v Telstar | 0-0 | 82% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-13 | PEC Zwolle v Feyenoord | 0-7 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam | 4-1 | 94% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Twente v ADO Den Haag | 2-0 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | GO Ahead Eagles v Groningen | 1-1 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Fortuna Sittard v Ajax | 1-5 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen | 3-0 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-11 | AZ Alkmaar v Willem II | 1-1 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-09 | Twente v Telstar | 1-0 | 85% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-08 | Utrecht v GO Ahead Eagles | 3-3 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-08 | NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior | 2-2 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Groningen v Twente | 2-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Heerenveen v AZ Alkmaar | 2-3 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Telstar v Cambuur | 2-2 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | ADO Den Haag v Fortuna Sittard | 2-3 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord | 1-3 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Ajax v PSV Eindhoven | 1-3 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Willem II v Excelsior | 0-3 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-04 | Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle | 2-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven | 1-6 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Willem II v Heerenveen | 2-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Feyenoord v ADO Den Haag | 2-2 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Telstar v Ajax | 0-4 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Cambuur v Twente | 1-4 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam | 2-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | AZ Alkmaar v GO Ahead Eagles | 5-2 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | PEC Zwolle v NEC Nijmegen | 1-3 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-28 | Groningen v Fortuna Sittard | 2-3 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | GO Ahead Eagles v ADO Den Haag | 3-1 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | PSV Eindhoven v Groningen | 5-1 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Cambuur v Feyenoord | 2-5 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Fortuna Sittard v AZ Alkmaar | 0-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Sparta Rotterdam v Utrecht | 3-3 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Heerenveen v PEC Zwolle | 0-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | ADO Den Haag v Groningen | 1-4 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | Feyenoord v GO Ahead Eagles | 2-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | Twente v PEC Zwolle | 3-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | Ajax v Heerenveen | 2-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Willem II v NEC Nijmegen | 1-4 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar | 1-4 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven | 1-2 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Fortuna Sittard v Cambuur | 3-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam | 1-3 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-09 | Sparta Rotterdam v Feyenoord | 0-1 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-09 | PEC Zwolle v Ajax | 0-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-09 | Groningen v Utrecht | 2-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-09 | Heerenveen v Twente | 1-0 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-08 | NEC Nijmegen v Telstar | 1-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-08 | GO Ahead Eagles v Willem II | 4-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-08 | PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard | 2-2 | 92% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-08 | AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag | 2-0 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-07 | Cambuur v Excelsior | 0-4 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Ajax v Utrecht | 1-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-21 | Ajax v Groningen | 2-0 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-21 | Utrecht v Heerenveen | 3-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | PEC Zwolle v Feyenoord | 0-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | PSV Eindhoven v Twente | 5-1 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | AZ Alkmaar v NAC Breda | 3-3 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Heracles v Groningen | 1-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Utrecht v Fortuna Sittard | 2-0 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Heerenveen v Ajax | 0-0 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-17 | NEC Nijmegen v GO Ahead Eagles | 2-1 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | FC Volendam v Telstar | 1-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Sparta Rotterdam v Excelsior | 2-3 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-11 | NAC Breda v Heerenveen | 2-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Ajax v Utrecht | 1-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Excelsior v FC Volendam | 1-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Groningen v NEC Nijmegen | 2-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Fortuna Sittard v PEC Zwolle | 3-2 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar | 1-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | GO Ahead Eagles v PSV Eindhoven | 1-4 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Twente v Sparta Rotterdam | 4-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Telstar v Heracles | 3-0 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | FC Volendam v Heerenveen | 0-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | PEC Zwolle v Heracles | 1-0 | 87% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-03 | Fortuna Sittard v Feyenoord | 1-2 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | AZ Alkmaar v Twente | 2-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Sparta Rotterdam v GO Ahead Eagles | 2-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Utrecht v NAC Breda | 2-0 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Groningen v Excelsior | 2-3 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Ajax v PSV Eindhoven | 2-2 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | NEC Nijmegen v Telstar | 1-1 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Excelsior v Utrecht | 5-0 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Heracles v FC Volendam | 0-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Feyenoord v Groningen | 3-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Heerenveen v Fortuna Sittard | 2-1 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | NAC Breda v Ajax | 0-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Twente v NEC Nijmegen | 1-1 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-23 | GO Ahead Eagles v AZ Alkmaar | 0-0 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-23 | PSV Eindhoven v PEC Zwolle | 6-1 | 94% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-22 | Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam | 4-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Fortuna Sittard v NAC Breda | 1-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | PEC Zwolle v Excelsior | 2-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord | 1-1 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | AZ Alkmaar v Heerenveen | 3-0 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Utrecht v Telstar | 4-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Sparta Rotterdam v PSV Eindhoven | 0-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Groningen v GO Ahead Eagles | 0-0 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-11 | Heracles v Ajax | 0-3 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-10 | Twente v FC Volendam | 2-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | GO Ahead Eagles v PEC Zwolle | 5-0 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | Heerenveen v Heracles | 4-1 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | FC Volendam v Feyenoord | 0-0 | 82% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-05 | NAC Breda v Sparta Rotterdam | 0-0 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-04 | PSV Eindhoven v Utrecht | 4-3 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | AZ Alkmaar v Fortuna Sittard | 2-0 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Telstar v Groningen | 0-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Ajax v Twente | 1-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Excelsior v NEC Nijmegen | 0-2 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | NEC Nijmegen v Heerenveen | 2-2 | 91% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Utrecht v GO Ahead Eagles | 2-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Feyenoord v Ajax | 1-1 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Groningen v AZ Alkmaar | 3-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Telstar v PSV Eindhoven | 3-1 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Fortuna Sittard v Twente | 1-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Sparta Rotterdam v FC Volendam | 2-0 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | PEC Zwolle v NAC Breda | 2-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-20 | Heracles v Excelsior | 1-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Twente v Utrecht | 0-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | AZ Alkmaar v Heracles | 4-0 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Feyenoord v Excelsior | 2-1 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | GO Ahead Eagles v NAC Breda | 6-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | FC Volendam v Fortuna Sittard | 1-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | PSV Eindhoven v NEC Nijmegen | 2-3 | 94% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Heerenveen v Telstar | 3-0 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Ajax v Sparta Rotterdam | 4-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-13 | PEC Zwolle v Groningen | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Fortuna Sittard v Telstar | 1-4 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | GO Ahead Eagles v Twente | 1-4 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | NAC Breda v Feyenoord | 3-3 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | NEC Nijmegen v FC Volendam | 3-0 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | Groningen v Ajax | 3-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | PSV Eindhoven v AZ Alkmaar | 2-1 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | Excelsior v Heerenveen | 1-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-06 | Heracles v Utrecht | 0-0 | 82% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-01 | PEC Zwolle v Ajax | 0-0 | 84% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-01 | Twente v Feyenoord | 2-0 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | FC Volendam v Groningen | 3-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar | 2-0 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles | 0-1 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-28 | Heerenveen v Sparta Rotterdam | 2-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Heracles v PSV Eindhoven | 1-3 | 94% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard | 2-3 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-27 | Telstar v NAC Breda | 3-0 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Twente v Groningen | 2-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Utrecht v PEC Zwolle | 1-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | GO Ahead Eagles v Heracles | 4-0 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | AZ Alkmaar v Sparta Rotterdam | 3-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Feyenoord v Telstar | 2-1 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | PSV Eindhoven v Heerenveen | 3-1 | 93% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | NAC Breda v FC Volendam | 1-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-21 | Ajax v NEC Nijmegen | 1-1 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-20 | Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior | 2-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-17 | Sparta Rotterdam v NEC Nijmegen | 1-1 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Feyenoord v GO Ahead Eagles | 1-0 | 89% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-15 | Heerenveen v PEC Zwolle | 4-2 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Telstar v Twente | 1-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Heracles v NAC Breda | 0-1 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-14 | Excelsior v AZ Alkmaar | 1-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Ajax v Fortuna Sittard | 4-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Groningen v Utrecht | 1-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-13 | FC Volendam v PSV Eindhoven | 2-1 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-11 | GO Ahead Eagles v Heerenveen | 1-3 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-11 | NEC Nijmegen v Utrecht | 1-3 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Utrecht v Feyenoord | 0-1 | 84% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-08 | AZ Alkmaar v Ajax | 1-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | GO Ahead Eagles v Telstar | 1-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Groningen v PSV Eindhoven | 1-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-07 | NEC Nijmegen v Heracles | 4-1 | 95% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-07 | PEC Zwolle v FC Volendam | 1-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-07 | Twente v Heerenveen | 5-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-07 | Fortuna Sittard v Sparta Rotterdam | 2-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-06 | NAC Breda v Excelsior | 0-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-01 | Excelsior v Ajax | 2-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-01 | PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord | 3-0 | 94% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-01 | Heracles v Fortuna Sittard | 2-1 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-01 | Heerenveen v Utrecht | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-01 | FC Volendam v GO Ahead Eagles | 1-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-31 | AZ Alkmaar v NEC Nijmegen | 1-3 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-31 | PEC Zwolle v Telstar | 4-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-31 | Sparta Rotterdam v Groningen | 2-0 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-30 | NAC Breda v Twente | 2-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | Telstar v AZ Alkmaar | 0-1 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-25 | Groningen v Fortuna Sittard | 1-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam | 0-1 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-25 | Feyenoord v Heracles | 4-2 | 94% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | Ajax v FC Volendam | 2-0 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | NEC Nijmegen v PEC Zwolle | 2-1 | 92% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | PSV Eindhoven v NAC Breda | 2-2 | 91% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | Twente v Excelsior | 0-0 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-21 | AZ Alkmaar v Excelsior | 1-1 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-18 | Heerenveen v Groningen | 0-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-18 | Heracles v Twente | 0-2 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-18 | FC Volendam v Utrecht | 2-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-18 | Feyenoord v Sparta Rotterdam | 3-4 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-17 | Ajax v GO Ahead Eagles | 2-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-17 | PEC Zwolle v AZ Alkmaar | 3-1 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-17 | Excelsior v Telstar | 2-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-17 | Fortuna Sittard v PSV Eindhoven | 1-2 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-17 | NAC Breda v NEC Nijmegen | 3-4 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-11 | Heerenveen v Feyenoord | 2-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-11 | GO Ahead Eagles v Fortuna Sittard | 2-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-11 | Telstar v Ajax | 2-3 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-11 | Sparta Rotterdam v Heracles | 2-0 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-10 | AZ Alkmaar v FC Volendam | 1-0 | 87% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-10 | Twente v PEC Zwolle | 1-1 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-10 | PSV Eindhoven v Excelsior | 5-1 | 93% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-10 | Groningen v NAC Breda | 0-0 | 70% | under | ✗ |