Goal Elo
monitoring only -- not used by any card's picksAn attack/defense Elo variant tracking goal-scoring and goal-conceding strength independently of win/loss. Each team's Attack and Defense sit on a log scale where 0 is exactly league average; ratings update after every match from the gap between actual and expected goals. See scripts/goal_elo/goal_elo.py for the model.
Ratings
23 teams · K=0.025 · league avg 1.158 goals/team/match · home advantage +0.170 log-units (~19%) · seasons 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 · generated 2026-09-19 10:32 UTC
Dot size = matches played (a small dot is a partial-season sample -- promoted/relegated sides). Color is combined attack+defense strength, green (strong) to red (weak). Labeled: top 3 by attack, top 3 by defense.
| Team | Attack | Defense | Atk Elo | Def Elo | GF vs avg defense | GA vs avg attack | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | 0.351 | -0.273 | 1675 | 1363 | 1.64 | 1.52 | 144 |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 0.199 | 0.217 | 1600 | 1609 | 1.41 | 0.93 | 144 |
| Kyoto Sanga | 0.194 | 0.134 | 1597 | 1567 | 1.41 | 1.01 | 144 |
| Cerezo Osaka | 0.181 | -0.143 | 1591 | 1428 | 1.39 | 1.34 | 144 |
| Kashima | 0.180 | 0.325 | 1590 | 1662 | 1.39 | 0.84 | 144 |
| Gamba Osaka | 0.162 | -0.081 | 1581 | 1460 | 1.36 | 1.26 | 144 |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 0.149 | 0.031 | 1574 | 1516 | 1.34 | 1.12 | 144 |
| Machida Zelvia | 0.076 | 0.215 | 1538 | 1608 | 1.25 | 0.93 | 76 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.074 | 0.337 | 1537 | 1669 | 1.25 | 0.83 | 144 |
| Vissel Kobe | 0.025 | 0.294 | 1512 | 1647 | 1.19 | 0.86 | 144 |
| Consadole Sapporo | 0.005 | -0.137 | 1502 | 1431 | 1.16 | 1.33 | 106 |
| Sagan Tosu | 0.002 | -0.158 | 1501 | 1421 | 1.16 | 1.36 | 106 |
| Jubilo Iwata | -0.048 | -0.235 | 1476 | 1382 | 1.10 | 1.47 | 72 |
| Urawa | -0.059 | 0.165 | 1470 | 1582 | 1.09 | 0.98 | 144 |
| FC Tokyo | -0.065 | 0.038 | 1467 | 1519 | 1.09 | 1.12 | 144 |
| Nagoya Grampus | -0.088 | -0.093 | 1456 | 1454 | 1.06 | 1.27 | 144 |
| Shimizu S-pulse | -0.112 | -0.094 | 1444 | 1453 | 1.04 | 1.27 | 72 |
| Shonan Bellmare | -0.115 | -0.278 | 1442 | 1361 | 1.03 | 1.53 | 144 |
| Fagiano Okayama | -0.198 | 0.020 | 1401 | 1510 | 0.95 | 1.14 | 38 |
| Albirex Niigata | -0.199 | -0.331 | 1401 | 1335 | 0.95 | 1.61 | 110 |
| Avispa Fukuoka | -0.292 | 0.202 | 1354 | 1601 | 0.86 | 0.95 | 144 |
| Yokohama FC | -0.317 | 0.034 | 1342 | 1517 | 0.84 | 1.12 | 72 |
| Tokyo Verdy | -0.376 | 0.085 | 1312 | 1542 | 0.79 | 1.06 | 76 |
Atk/Def Elo = 1500 + raw × 500 -- a cosmetic rescale for familiarity, not a real unit conversion. Chess Elo's 400-point gap has a specific meaning (10:1 win odds) that goal-scoring rate has no equivalent of. The Attack/Defense columns are what the model actually computes with.
2026 over 1.5 check
P(total goals ≥ 2) for every completed match since 2026-01-01 across all 38 tracked leagues -- the mu_home + mu_away → Poisson total construction, same as over-15-card's own math, just fed by Goal Elo's ratings instead. Each prediction used only ratings built from strictly earlier matches, compared against a baseline that knows just the league's average scoring rate and home advantage, no team identity at all.
Honest read: over 1.5 is a low bar in football (the baseline alone already expects it 76% of the time), so knowing which specific teams are playing barely moves the needle here -- skill sits close to 0% pooled, unlike the real, consistent edge Attack/Defense showed on raw expected goals. The model is well calibrated (see below), it just isn't adding much information a viewer didn't already have from the league's baseline rate.
Reliability
Matches bucketed by predicted P(over 1.5); dot = actual over-1.5 rate in that bucket (size = sample). On the dashed line means perfectly calibrated.
Skill vs no-team-identity baseline
1 − (model Brier / baseline Brier). 0% = no better than ignoring which teams are playing; a negative bar means Attack/Defense info actually hurt on that league's calls.
Biggest surprises
Lowest probability the model gave to what actually happened.
- VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-05-09)model said 96% over
- CF Montreal 0-1 Inter Miami (USA - MLS, 2026-07-25)model said 93% over
- Club Brugge KV 1-0 Cercle Brugge (Belgium - Jupiler Pro League, 2026-08-23)model said 92% over
- Barcelona 1-0 Celta Vigo (Spain - La Liga, 2026-04-22)model said 92% over
- FC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-09-05)model said 92% over
- Sirius 0-1 Malmo FF (Sweden - Allsvenskan, 2026-08-31)model said 91% over
- FC Midtjylland 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland (Denmark - Superliga, 2026-03-15)model said 91% over
- Always Ready 1-0 Oriente Petrolero (Bolivia - Primera Division, 2026-04-22)model said 91% over
- Newcastle Jets 1-0 Macarthur (Australia - A-League, 2026-02-22)model said 90% over
- Al-Fateh 0-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Saudi Arabia - Pro League, 2026-03-14)model said 90% over
All predictions — Japan - J1 League (200)
Switch leagues with the tabs above the ratings table; newest match first.
| Date | Match | Score | P(over) | Actual | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Kashima v Vissel Kobe | 2-0 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-06-06 | FC Tokyo v Cerezo Osaka | 1-3 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-06-06 | JEF United Chiba v Avispa Fukuoka | 1-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-06-06 | Machida Zelvia v Nagoya Grampus | 2-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-06-06 | Mito Hollyhock v V-varen Nagasaki | 0-1 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-06-06 | Urawa v Fagiano Okayama | 0-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-06-06 | Tokyo Verdy v Gamba Osaka | 2-4 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-06-06 | Yokohama F. Marinos v Shimizu S-pulse | 3-0 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-06-06 | Kashiwa Reysol v Kyoto Sanga | 0-1 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-06-06 | Kawasaki Frontale v Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0-1 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-31 | Shimizu S-pulse v Yokohama F. Marinos | 1-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-31 | Fagiano Okayama v Urawa | 1-1 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-30 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kawasaki Frontale | 2-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-30 | Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia | 2-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-30 | Vissel Kobe v Kashima | 5-0 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-30 | Cerezo Osaka v FC Tokyo | 2-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-30 | Gamba Osaka v Tokyo Verdy | 1-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-30 | Avispa Fukuoka v JEF United Chiba | 2-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-30 | V-varen Nagasaki v Mito Hollyhock | 1-0 | 78% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-30 | Kyoto Sanga v Kashiwa Reysol | 2-6 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Fagiano Okayama v Cerezo Osaka | 2-3 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Mito Hollyhock v Kawasaki Frontale | 1-3 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Tokyo Verdy v Yokohama F. Marinos | 0-6 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka | 1-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Nagoya Grampus | 4-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Avispa Fukuoka v Vissel Kobe | 0-1 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-23 | Kashima v FC Tokyo | 1-0 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-23 | Kashiwa Reysol v JEF United Chiba | 4-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Kyoto Sanga v V-varen Nagasaki | 1-0 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-22 | Machida Zelvia v Urawa | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-17 | V-varen Nagasaki v Vissel Kobe | 2-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | JEF United Chiba v Kashima | 0-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Fagiano Okayama v Shimizu S-pulse | 2-0 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Cerezo Osaka v Nagoya Grampus | 6-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Kyoto Sanga v Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0-4 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Kawasaki Frontale v Machida Zelvia | 1-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-16 | Mito Hollyhock v Tokyo Verdy | 0-1 | 68% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-16 | Urawa v FC Tokyo | 0-0 | 70% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-16 | Yokohama F. Marinos v Kashiwa Reysol | 0-1 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-13 | Vissel Kobe v Kyoto Sanga | 1-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-13 | Machida Zelvia v Tokyo Verdy | 0-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-10 | Shimizu S-pulse v Avispa Fukuoka | 1-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Vissel Kobe v Fagiano Okayama | 0-3 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Yokohama F. Marinos v Kashima | 1-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | FC Tokyo v Tokyo Verdy | 2-1 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Gamba Osaka v Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0-1 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-10 | Kashiwa Reysol v Kawasaki Frontale | 1-0 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-10 | Nagoya Grampus v Kyoto Sanga | 3-0 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | JEF United Chiba v Machida Zelvia | 0-2 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Mito Hollyhock v Urawa | 1-4 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Cerezo Osaka v V-varen Nagasaki | 3-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-06 | Shimizu S-pulse v Cerezo Osaka | 1-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-06 | V-varen Nagasaki v Fagiano Okayama | 2-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-06 | Nagoya Grampus v Gamba Osaka | 2-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-06 | Avispa Fukuoka v Kyoto Sanga | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-06 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Vissel Kobe | 1-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-06 | FC Tokyo v JEF United Chiba | 0-3 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-06 | Kashima v Mito Hollyhock | 3-0 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-06 | Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F. Marinos | 2-0 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-06 | Kawasaki Frontale v Tokyo Verdy | 1-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-06 | Kashiwa Reysol v Urawa | 0-1 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-03 | Tokyo Verdy v Kashiwa Reysol | 1-0 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-03 | Cerezo Osaka v Avispa Fukuoka | 1-1 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Kashima v Machida Zelvia | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | V-varen Nagasaki v Nagoya Grampus | 1-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1-0 | 70% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-02 | FC Tokyo v Kawasaki Frontale | 2-0 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Yokohama F. Marinos v Mito Hollyhock | 1-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Kyoto Sanga v Shimizu S-pulse | 1-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Gamba Osaka v Vissel Kobe | 5-0 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Urawa v JEF United Chiba | 2-0 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | Shimizu S-pulse v V-varen Nagasaki | 1-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | Tokyo Verdy v Kashima | 2-1 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | Vissel Kobe v Cerezo Osaka | 0-0 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-29 | JEF United Chiba v Yokohama F. Marinos | 2-3 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | Avispa Fukuoka v Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2-2 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | Urawa v Kawasaki Frontale | 2-0 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | Nagoya Grampus v Fagiano Okayama | 1-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | Kyoto Sanga v Gamba Osaka | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | Kashiwa Reysol v FC Tokyo | 1-3 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | Mito Hollyhock v Machida Zelvia | 2-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Shimizu S-pulse v Nagoya Grampus | 0-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Urawa v Yokohama F. Marinos | 2-3 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Fagiano Okayama v Avispa Fukuoka | 2-0 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Kawasaki Frontale v JEF United Chiba | 2-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Cerezo Osaka | 2-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | V-varen Nagasaki v Gamba Osaka | 1-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-24 | Kashiwa Reysol v Kashima | 0-1 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-24 | FC Tokyo v Mito Hollyhock | 5-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-22 | Gamba Osaka v Avispa Fukuoka | 1-2 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | Mito Hollyhock v Kashiwa Reysol | 2-0 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | Gamba Osaka v Fagiano Okayama | 2-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | Nagoya Grampus v Avispa Fukuoka | 2-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | Yokohama F. Marinos v Kawasaki Frontale | 1-2 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima v V-varen Nagasaki | 2-0 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | Kashima v Urawa | 1-0 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-18 | Tokyo Verdy v JEF United Chiba | 1-0 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-18 | Cerezo Osaka v Kyoto Sanga | 3-0 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Urawa v Tokyo Verdy | 1-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Kawasaki Frontale v Kashima | 0-2 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | JEF United Chiba v Mito Hollyhock | 1-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Machida Zelvia v Kashiwa Reysol | 1-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-11 | Avispa Fukuoka v V-varen Nagasaki | 1-0 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-11 | Vissel Kobe v Nagoya Grampus | 3-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Yokohama F. Marinos v FC Tokyo | 1-3 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Gamba Osaka v Cerezo Osaka | 0-1 | 78% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-11 | Kyoto Sanga v Fagiano Okayama | 5-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | V-varen Nagasaki v Shimizu S-pulse | 0-3 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | Kashiwa Reysol v Yokohama F. Marinos | 3-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Avispa Fukuoka | 0-1 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-05 | Fagiano Okayama v Vissel Kobe | 1-4 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | FC Tokyo v Machida Zelvia | 0-0 | 70% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-05 | Kawasaki Frontale v Urawa | 3-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | JEF United Chiba v Tokyo Verdy | 3-2 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Mito Hollyhock v Kashima | 1-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka | 3-0 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga | 2-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-01 | Vissel Kobe v Shimizu S-pulse | 2-0 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-01 | Machida Zelvia v FC Tokyo | 0-3 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-28 | Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale | 1-1 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-27 | Vissel Kobe v Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2-1 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Shimizu S-pulse v Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3-1 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Kyoto Sanga v Nagoya Grampus | 1-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Tokyo Verdy v FC Tokyo | 0-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-22 | Kashima v JEF United Chiba | 2-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Cerezo Osaka v Vissel Kobe | 1-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Kawasaki Frontale v Yokohama F. Marinos | 0-5 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Kashiwa Reysol v Mito Hollyhock | 3-0 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Urawa v Machida Zelvia | 1-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Fagiano Okayama v V-varen Nagasaki | 0-1 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-21 | Avispa Fukuoka v Gamba Osaka | 2-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-18 | Cerezo Osaka v Fagiano Okayama | 1-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-18 | V-varen Nagasaki v Kyoto Sanga | 1-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-18 | Nagoya Grampus v Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-18 | Vissel Kobe v Gamba Osaka | 2-2 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-18 | JEF United Chiba v FC Tokyo | 1-2 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-18 | Mito Hollyhock v Yokohama F. Marinos | 1-0 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-18 | Tokyo Verdy v Kawasaki Frontale | 0-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-18 | Avispa Fukuoka v Shimizu S-pulse | 1-1 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-18 | Urawa v Kashiwa Reysol | 1-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-18 | Machida Zelvia v Kashima | 0-3 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | V-varen Nagasaki v Avispa Fukuoka | 1-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-14 | Yokohama F. Marinos v JEF United Chiba | 2-0 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Kashiwa Reysol v Machida Zelvia | 0-1 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-14 | Shimizu S-pulse v Fagiano Okayama | 1-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Nagoya Grampus v Vissel Kobe | 0-3 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Kyoto Sanga v Cerezo Osaka | 1-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Mito Hollyhock v FC Tokyo | 1-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Gamba Osaka | 2-0 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Kashima v Kawasaki Frontale | 1-0 | 83% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-14 | Tokyo Verdy v Urawa | 1-0 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-08 | Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Sanga | 1-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-08 | Gamba Osaka v V-varen Nagasaki | 3-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | JEF United Chiba v Kashiwa Reysol | 2-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | FC Tokyo v Yokohama F. Marinos | 3-0 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | Urawa v Mito Hollyhock | 2-0 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | Cerezo Osaka v Shimizu S-pulse | 0-0 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-07 | Kashima v Tokyo Verdy | 2-0 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | Avispa Fukuoka v Nagoya Grampus | 1-5 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Fagiano Okayama v Nagoya Grampus | 1-1 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Kawasaki Frontale v Mito Hollyhock | 2-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy | 3-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Urawa v Kashima | 2-3 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | FC Tokyo v Kashiwa Reysol | 0-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Gamba Osaka v Shimizu S-pulse | 2-2 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | V-varen Nagasaki v Cerezo Osaka | 1-0 | 78% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-27 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto Sanga | 1-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-27 | Vissel Kobe v Avispa Fukuoka | 2-1 | 58% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-27 | Machida Zelvia v JEF United Chiba | 2-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Kyoto Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka | 2-0 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Mito Hollyhock v JEF United Chiba | 1-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Fagiano Okayama v Gamba Osaka | 1-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Cerezo Osaka v Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Yokohama F. Marinos v Urawa | 0-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Tokyo Verdy v Machida Zelvia | 2-2 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Shimizu S-pulse v Vissel Kobe | 1-0 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-21 | Nagoya Grampus v V-varen Nagasaki | 1-3 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Kawasaki Frontale v FC Tokyo | 1-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Kashima v Kashiwa Reysol | 2-0 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | JEF United Chiba v Kawasaki Frontale | 0-0 | 85% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-15 | Kashiwa Reysol v Tokyo Verdy | 1-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Avispa Fukuoka v Cerezo Osaka | 0-2 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Gamba Osaka v Nagoya Grampus | 0-0 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-14 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Fagiano Okayama | 1-1 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Shimizu S-pulse v Kyoto Sanga | 1-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Machida Zelvia v Mito Hollyhock | 2-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Kashima v Yokohama F. Marinos | 1-0 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-14 | FC Tokyo v Urawa | 1-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-13 | Vissel Kobe v V-varen Nagasaki | 2-0 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama | 1-1 | 59% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Nagoya Grampus v Shimizu S-pulse | 1-0 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-08 | Kawasaki Frontale v Kashiwa Reysol | 5-3 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Tokyo Verdy v Mito Hollyhock | 3-1 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-07 | JEF United Chiba v Urawa | 0-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-07 | FC Tokyo v Kashima | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-07 | Cerezo Osaka v Gamba Osaka | 0-0 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-06 | V-varen Nagasaki v Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1-3 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-06 | Yokohama F. Marinos v Machida Zelvia | 2-3 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-06 | Kyoto Sanga v Vissel Kobe | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |