Goal Elo
monitoring only -- not used by any card's picksAn attack/defense Elo variant tracking goal-scoring and goal-conceding strength independently of win/loss. Each team's Attack and Defense sit on a log scale where 0 is exactly league average; ratings update after every match from the gap between actual and expected goals. See scripts/goal_elo/goal_elo.py for the model.
Ratings
21 teams · K=0.025 · league avg 1.035 goals/team/match · home advantage +0.362 log-units (~44%) · seasons 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 · generated 2026-09-19 10:32 UTC
Dot size = matches played (a small dot is a partial-season sample -- promoted/relegated sides). Color is combined attack+defense strength, green (strong) to red (weak). Labeled: top 3 by attack, top 3 by defense.
| Team | Attack | Defense | Atk Elo | Def Elo | GF vs avg defense | GA vs avg attack | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU de Quito | 0.376 | 0.246 | 1688 | 1623 | 1.51 | 0.81 | 134 |
| Universidad Catolica | 0.290 | 0.059 | 1645 | 1530 | 1.38 | 0.97 | 130 |
| Independiente del Valle | 0.233 | 0.469 | 1616 | 1734 | 1.31 | 0.65 | 134 |
| Aucas | 0.201 | -0.046 | 1601 | 1477 | 1.27 | 1.08 | 132 |
| Barcelona SC | 0.165 | 0.150 | 1582 | 1575 | 1.22 | 0.89 | 132 |
| Macara | 0.086 | 0.260 | 1543 | 1630 | 1.13 | 0.80 | 100 |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 0.063 | 0.150 | 1531 | 1575 | 1.10 | 0.89 | 130 |
| Libertad | 0.058 | 0.085 | 1529 | 1543 | 1.10 | 0.95 | 100 |
| Manta FC | 0.036 | -0.157 | 1518 | 1421 | 1.07 | 1.21 | 36 |
| Imbabura | -0.018 | -0.253 | 1491 | 1373 | 1.02 | 1.33 | 30 |
| Mushuc Runa SC | -0.032 | -0.094 | 1484 | 1453 | 1.00 | 1.14 | 126 |
| El Nacional | -0.036 | -0.310 | 1482 | 1345 | 1.00 | 1.41 | 99 |
| 9 de Octubre | -0.063 | -0.074 | 1468 | 1463 | 0.97 | 1.11 | 30 |
| Orense SC | -0.088 | 0.162 | 1456 | 1581 | 0.95 | 0.88 | 130 |
| Emelec | -0.106 | 0.058 | 1447 | 1529 | 0.93 | 0.98 | 130 |
| Gualaceo SC | -0.122 | -0.136 | 1439 | 1432 | 0.92 | 1.19 | 60 |
| Cuniburo | -0.135 | -0.078 | 1432 | 1461 | 0.90 | 1.12 | 36 |
| Guayaquil City FC | -0.163 | -0.038 | 1418 | 1481 | 0.88 | 1.08 | 60 |
| Cumbayá | -0.168 | -0.228 | 1416 | 1386 | 0.87 | 1.30 | 90 |
| Tecnico Universitario | -0.209 | -0.072 | 1395 | 1464 | 0.84 | 1.11 | 126 |
| Delfin SC | -0.326 | -0.194 | 1337 | 1403 | 0.75 | 1.26 | 129 |
Atk/Def Elo = 1500 + raw × 500 -- a cosmetic rescale for familiarity, not a real unit conversion. Chess Elo's 400-point gap has a specific meaning (10:1 win odds) that goal-scoring rate has no equivalent of. The Attack/Defense columns are what the model actually computes with.
2026 over 1.5 check
P(total goals ≥ 2) for every completed match since 2026-01-01 across all 38 tracked leagues -- the mu_home + mu_away → Poisson total construction, same as over-15-card's own math, just fed by Goal Elo's ratings instead. Each prediction used only ratings built from strictly earlier matches, compared against a baseline that knows just the league's average scoring rate and home advantage, no team identity at all.
Honest read: over 1.5 is a low bar in football (the baseline alone already expects it 76% of the time), so knowing which specific teams are playing barely moves the needle here -- skill sits close to 0% pooled, unlike the real, consistent edge Attack/Defense showed on raw expected goals. The model is well calibrated (see below), it just isn't adding much information a viewer didn't already have from the league's baseline rate.
Reliability
Matches bucketed by predicted P(over 1.5); dot = actual over-1.5 rate in that bucket (size = sample). On the dashed line means perfectly calibrated.
Skill vs no-team-identity baseline
1 − (model Brier / baseline Brier). 0% = no better than ignoring which teams are playing; a negative bar means Attack/Defense info actually hurt on that league's calls.
Biggest surprises
Lowest probability the model gave to what actually happened.
- VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-05-09)model said 96% over
- CF Montreal 0-1 Inter Miami (USA - MLS, 2026-07-25)model said 93% over
- Club Brugge KV 1-0 Cercle Brugge (Belgium - Jupiler Pro League, 2026-08-23)model said 92% over
- Barcelona 1-0 Celta Vigo (Spain - La Liga, 2026-04-22)model said 92% over
- FC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-09-05)model said 92% over
- Sirius 0-1 Malmo FF (Sweden - Allsvenskan, 2026-08-31)model said 91% over
- FC Midtjylland 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland (Denmark - Superliga, 2026-03-15)model said 91% over
- Always Ready 1-0 Oriente Petrolero (Bolivia - Primera Division, 2026-04-22)model said 91% over
- Newcastle Jets 1-0 Macarthur (Australia - A-League, 2026-02-22)model said 90% over
- Al-Fateh 0-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Saudi Arabia - Pro League, 2026-03-14)model said 90% over
All predictions — Ecuador - Liga Pro (241)
Switch leagues with the tabs above the ratings table; newest match first.
| Date | Match | Score | P(over) | Actual | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Aucas v Macara | 1-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-15 | Universidad Catolica v Orense SC | 2-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | LDU de Quito v Deportivo Cuenca | 1-1 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Leones del Norte v Tecnico Universitario | 0-1 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-13 | Macara v Emelec | 1-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-13 | Barcelona SC v Delfin SC | 1-1 | 58% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Libertad v Independiente del Valle | 2-3 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Manta FC v Aucas | 0-0 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-12 | Guayaquil City FC v Mushuc Runa SC | 3-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-08 | Emelec v Manta FC | 1-0 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-08 | Mushuc Runa SC v Leones del Norte | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-08 | Orense SC v Guayaquil City FC | 4-3 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-07 | Deportivo Cuenca v Libertad | 0-1 | 62% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-07 | Aucas v Barcelona SC | 1-1 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Delfin SC v Universidad Catolica | 0-1 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-05 | Tecnico Universitario v LDU de Quito | 1-3 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Independiente del Valle v Macara | 3-1 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-04 | Libertad v Emelec | 1-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-03 | Barcelona SC v Independiente del Valle | 2-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-03 | Universidad Catolica v Aucas | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-03 | Leones del Norte v Orense SC | 1-0 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-02 | LDU de Quito v Mushuc Runa SC | 0-0 | 68% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-02 | Macara v Manta FC | 4-3 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-02 | Deportivo Cuenca v Guayaquil City FC | 1-0 | 63% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-01 | Delfin SC v Tecnico Universitario | 1-0 | 60% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-30 | Manta FC v Barcelona SC | 2-0 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Aucas v Libertad | 1-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-30 | Orense SC v Macara | 1-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Emelec v Leones del Norte | 2-1 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Tecnico Universitario v Deportivo Cuenca | 3-1 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica | 2-2 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Guayaquil City FC v LDU de Quito | 2-1 | 58% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-28 | Mushuc Runa SC v Delfin SC | 1-0 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-25 | Libertad v Macara | 1-0 | 68% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-24 | LDU de Quito v Emelec | 2-0 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Barcelona SC v Orense SC | 3-0 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Delfin SC v Aucas | 0-1 | 62% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-22 | Deportivo Cuenca v Mushuc Runa SC | 0-0 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-22 | Leones del Norte v Independiente del Valle | 2-3 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Universidad Catolica v Manta FC | 5-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Tecnico Universitario v Guayaquil City FC | 2-3 | 60% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-18 | Macara v Universidad Catolica | 1-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-17 | Aucas v LDU de Quito | 0-1 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-16 | Mushuc Runa SC v Barcelona SC | 0-0 | 70% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-16 | Orense SC v Deportivo Cuenca | 2-0 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | Emelec v Tecnico Universitario | 2-1 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Independiente del Valle v Delfin SC | 3-2 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Manta FC v Leones del Norte | 0-2 | 60% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Guayaquil City FC v Libertad | 2-2 | 60% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-11 | Deportivo Cuenca v Manta FC | 1-2 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-10 | Guayaquil City FC v Emelec | 0-0 | 59% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-10 | Tecnico Universitario v Mushuc Runa SC | 0-3 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-10 | Libertad v Universidad Catolica | 2-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-09 | Barcelona SC v Macara | 1-2 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-09 | Delfin SC v Orense SC | 1-1 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-08 | LDU de Quito v Independiente del Valle | 0-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-08 | Aucas v Leones del Norte | 3-0 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-04 | LDU de Quito v Delfin SC | 2-1 | 60% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-02 | Emelec v Aucas | 0-2 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-02 | Independiente del Valle v Deportivo Cuenca | 1-0 | 86% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-02 | Macara v Guayaquil City FC | 2-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-02 | Leones del Norte v Barcelona SC | 1-1 | 60% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-01 | Libertad v Orense SC | 3-0 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-01 | Manta FC v Mushuc Runa SC | 1-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-01 | Universidad Catolica v Tecnico Universitario | 5-0 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-28 | Deportivo Cuenca v Emelec | 2-1 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-27 | Barcelona SC v LDU de Quito | 0-1 | 59% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-27 | Mushuc Runa SC v Libertad | 0-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-27 | Guayaquil City FC v Universidad Catolica | 0-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-26 | Tecnico Universitario v Manta FC | 1-0 | 60% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-26 | Delfin SC v Leones del Norte | 0-1 | 57% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-26 | Aucas v Macara | 1-4 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-26 | Orense SC v Independiente del Valle | 2-3 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-24 | Emelec v Mushuc Runa SC | 1-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-23 | Manta FC v LDU de Quito | 1-1 | 58% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-23 | Orense SC v Aucas | 2-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-23 | Leones del Norte v Guayaquil City FC | 1-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-22 | Universidad Catolica v Barcelona SC | 2-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-22 | Macara v Deportivo Cuenca | 3-0 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-22 | Independiente del Valle v Tecnico Universitario | 3-0 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-21 | Libertad v Delfin SC | 1-0 | 61% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-20 | Independiente del Valle v Emelec | 6-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-20 | Mushuc Runa SC v Orense SC | 2-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-19 | Barcelona SC v Libertad | 1-0 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-19 | Tecnico Universitario v Aucas | 0-1 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-19 | Guayaquil City FC v Manta FC | 1-0 | 62% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-18 | Delfin SC v Macara | 2-1 | 56% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-18 | Deportivo Cuenca v Universidad Catolica | 0-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-18 | LDU de Quito v Leones del Norte | 0-1 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-17 | Orense SC v Emelec | 0-2 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-16 | Barcelona SC v Guayaquil City FC | 1-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-16 | Aucas v Independiente del Valle | 0-3 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-15 | Manta FC v Delfin SC | 0-1 | 57% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-15 | Libertad v Tecnico Universitario | 1-0 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-15 | Universidad Catolica v LDU de Quito | 1-0 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-15 | Leones del Norte v Deportivo Cuenca | 1-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-14 | Macara v Mushuc Runa SC | 2-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-12 | LDU de Quito v Libertad | 0-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-12 | Deportivo Cuenca v Aucas | 0-1 | 68% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-12 | Emelec v Barcelona SC | 0-0 | 59% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-11 | Tecnico Universitario v Macara | 0-2 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-11 | Manta FC v Orense SC | 0-0 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-11 | Mushuc Runa SC v Independiente del Valle | 1-4 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-11 | Guayaquil City FC v Delfin SC | 2-1 | 57% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-10 | Leones del Norte v Universidad Catolica | 1-0 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-08 | Aucas v Guayaquil City FC | 1-0 | 70% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | Orense SC v Tecnico Universitario | 1-2 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-06 | Universidad Catolica v Mushuc Runa SC | 2-3 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-05 | Barcelona SC v Deportivo Cuenca | 2-0 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-05 | Macara v LDU de Quito | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-05 | Delfin SC v Emelec | 1-1 | 53% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-04 | Independiente del Valle v Manta FC | 4-0 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-04 | Libertad v Leones del Norte | 1-3 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-01 | LDU de Quito v Orense SC | 3-0 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-06-02 | Tecnico Universitario v Barcelona SC | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-06-01 | Leones del Norte v Macara | 1-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-31 | Deportivo Cuenca v Delfin SC | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-31 | Mushuc Runa SC v Aucas | 0-0 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-31 | Guayaquil City FC v Independiente del Valle | 2-4 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-31 | Emelec v Universidad Catolica | 1-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-30 | Manta FC v Libertad | 2-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-26 | Aucas v Manta FC | 3-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Deportivo Cuenca v LDU de Quito | 1-1 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Tecnico Universitario v Leones del Norte | 2-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Emelec v Macara | 2-0 | 59% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Delfin SC v Barcelona SC | 1-2 | 57% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Independiente del Valle v Libertad | 2-3 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Mushuc Runa SC v Guayaquil City FC | 2-2 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Orense SC v Universidad Catolica | 1-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-19 | Guayaquil City FC v Orense SC | 0-1 | 63% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-17 | Barcelona SC v Aucas | 3-0 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Leones del Norte v Mushuc Runa SC | 3-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Manta FC v Emelec | 0-0 | 61% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-16 | Libertad v Deportivo Cuenca | 0-1 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-16 | Macara v Independiente del Valle | 0-3 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-16 | Universidad Catolica v Delfin SC | 2-2 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-15 | LDU de Quito v Tecnico Universitario | 2-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-12 | Mushuc Runa SC v LDU de Quito | 1-3 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Independiente del Valle v Barcelona SC | 1-0 | 70% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-10 | Emelec v Libertad | 1-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Manta FC v Macara | 0-1 | 62% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-09 | Orense SC v Leones del Norte | 2-0 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Tecnico Universitario v Delfin SC | 4-0 | 53% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Guayaquil City FC v Deportivo Cuenca | 0-1 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-09 | Aucas v Universidad Catolica | 2-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Barcelona SC v Manta FC | 1-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Macara v Orense SC | 1-2 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Delfin SC v Mushuc Runa SC | 1-0 | 60% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-03 | Leones del Norte v Emelec | 2-0 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Libertad v Aucas | 3-2 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Deportivo Cuenca v Tecnico Universitario | 2-1 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | LDU de Quito v Guayaquil City FC | 1-0 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-01 | Universidad Catolica v Independiente del Valle | 2-3 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-28 | Aucas v Delfin SC | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-27 | Manta FC v Universidad Catolica | 1-0 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-26 | Macara v Libertad | 3-0 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Guayaquil City FC v Tecnico Universitario | 1-0 | 61% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-26 | Orense SC v Barcelona SC | 1-1 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Mushuc Runa SC v Deportivo Cuenca | 4-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Independiente del Valle v Leones del Norte | 2-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Emelec v LDU de Quito | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-24 | Universidad Catolica v Macara | 4-0 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-23 | LDU de Quito v Aucas | 0-0 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-22 | Tecnico Universitario v Emelec | 0-1 | 63% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-22 | Leones del Norte v Manta FC | 3-0 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-22 | Delfin SC v Independiente del Valle | 0-1 | 60% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-22 | Deportivo Cuenca v Orense SC | 1-3 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-22 | Barcelona SC v Mushuc Runa SC | 2-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-21 | Libertad v Guayaquil City FC | 0-1 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-19 | Orense SC v Delfin SC | 0-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-19 | Manta FC v Deportivo Cuenca | 0-1 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-19 | Independiente del Valle v LDU de Quito | 0-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | Macara v Barcelona SC | 3-1 | 59% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | Emelec v Guayaquil City FC | 1-3 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | Mushuc Runa SC v Tecnico Universitario | 1-0 | 68% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-18 | Universidad Catolica v Libertad | 2-0 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-17 | Leones del Norte v Aucas | 0-1 | 70% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-12 | Orense SC v Libertad | 2-1 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Tecnico Universitario v Universidad Catolica | 0-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Deportivo Cuenca v Independiente del Valle | 2-3 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Guayaquil City FC v Macara | 2-1 | 56% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Aucas v Emelec | 2-0 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Delfin SC v LDU de Quito | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-11 | Barcelona SC v Leones del Norte | 2-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Mushuc Runa SC v Manta FC | 1-0 | 72% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-09 | Universidad Catolica v Emelec | 1-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-07 | Libertad v Mushuc Runa SC | 2-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | Emelec v Deportivo Cuenca | 0-2 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | Leones del Norte v Delfin SC | 1-0 | 62% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-05 | Manta FC v Tecnico Universitario | 0-2 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | Macara v Aucas | 0-1 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-04 | LDU de Quito v Barcelona SC | 0-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Independiente del Valle v Orense SC | 2-0 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Universidad Catolica v Guayaquil City FC | 4-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-24 | Aucas v Orense SC | 3-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-23 | Guayaquil City FC v Leones del Norte | 0-0 | 62% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-22 | LDU de Quito v Manta FC | 1-0 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-22 | Tecnico Universitario v Independiente del Valle | 1-2 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Barcelona SC v Universidad Catolica | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Mushuc Runa SC v Emelec | 2-0 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Delfin SC v Libertad | 0-0 | 62% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-21 | Deportivo Cuenca v Macara | 1-1 | 59% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-20 | Emelec v Independiente del Valle | 2-0 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-19 | Libertad v Barcelona SC | 0-0 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-19 | Aucas v Tecnico Universitario | 0-1 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-19 | Orense SC v Mushuc Runa SC | 3-2 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-18 | Leones del Norte v LDU de Quito | 0-2 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-18 | Macara v Delfin SC | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-18 | Manta FC v Guayaquil City FC | 0-1 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-17 | Universidad Catolica v Deportivo Cuenca | 1-0 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-15 | LDU de Quito v Universidad Catolica | 1-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Mushuc Runa SC v Macara | 0-0 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-15 | Emelec v Orense SC | 2-1 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Guayaquil City FC v Barcelona SC | 0-0 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-14 | Deportivo Cuenca v Leones del Norte | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Independiente del Valle v Aucas | 2-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Delfin SC v Manta FC | 0-1 | 68% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-13 | Tecnico Universitario v Libertad | 2-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-10 | Orense SC v Manta FC | 1-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Libertad v LDU de Quito | 2-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Aucas v Deportivo Cuenca | 0-1 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-08 | Macara v Tecnico Universitario | 1-1 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Universidad Catolica v Leones del Norte | 3-0 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | Delfin SC v Guayaquil City FC | 1-0 | 64% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-07 | Barcelona SC v Emelec | 1-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-07 | Independiente del Valle v Mushuc Runa SC | 3-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-03 | Manta FC v Independiente del Valle | 0-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Emelec v Delfin SC | 1-1 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | LDU de Quito v Macara | 0-2 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Mushuc Runa SC v Universidad Catolica | 0-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-01 | Deportivo Cuenca v Barcelona SC | 2-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Tecnico Universitario v Orense SC | 1-1 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Leones del Norte v Libertad | 1-1 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Guayaquil City FC v Aucas | 1-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-24 | Libertad v Manta FC | 1-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-22 | Macara v Leones del Norte | 0-0 | 69% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-22 | Delfin SC v Deportivo Cuenca | 1-0 | 67% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-22 | Independiente del Valle v Guayaquil City FC | 2-0 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Orense SC v LDU de Quito | 1-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Aucas v Mushuc Runa SC | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Barcelona SC v Tecnico Universitario | 1-0 | 72% | under | ✗ |