Goal Elo
monitoring only -- not used by any card's picksAn attack/defense Elo variant tracking goal-scoring and goal-conceding strength independently of win/loss. Each team's Attack and Defense sit on a log scale where 0 is exactly league average; ratings update after every match from the gap between actual and expected goals. See scripts/goal_elo/goal_elo.py for the model.
Ratings
30 teams · K=0.025 · league avg 1.258 goals/team/match · home advantage +0.305 log-units (~36%) · seasons 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 · generated 2026-09-19 10:32 UTC
Dot size = matches played (a small dot is a partial-season sample -- promoted/relegated sides). Color is combined attack+defense strength, green (strong) to red (weak). Labeled: top 3 by attack, top 3 by defense.
| Team | Attack | Defense | Atk Elo | Def Elo | GF vs avg defense | GA vs avg attack | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 0.665 | 0.022 | 1832 | 1511 | 2.45 | 1.23 | 146 |
| Los Angeles FC | 0.306 | 0.194 | 1653 | 1597 | 1.71 | 1.04 | 151 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.266 | 0.222 | 1633 | 1611 | 1.64 | 1.01 | 147 |
| Chicago Fire | 0.228 | -0.164 | 1614 | 1418 | 1.58 | 1.48 | 139 |
| San Diego | 0.205 | 0.141 | 1603 | 1571 | 1.54 | 1.09 | 39 |
| Seattle Sounders | 0.192 | 0.109 | 1596 | 1555 | 1.52 | 1.13 | 147 |
| Columbus Crew | 0.168 | 0.016 | 1584 | 1508 | 1.49 | 1.24 | 147 |
| Orlando City SC | 0.153 | -0.037 | 1577 | 1482 | 1.47 | 1.30 | 146 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 0.097 | -0.148 | 1549 | 1426 | 1.39 | 1.46 | 143 |
| Philadelphia Union | 0.077 | 0.253 | 1538 | 1627 | 1.36 | 0.98 | 145 |
| Minnesota United FC | 0.059 | 0.101 | 1530 | 1551 | 1.33 | 1.14 | 144 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 0.056 | -0.246 | 1528 | 1377 | 1.33 | 1.61 | 137 |
| FC Dallas | 0.029 | -0.019 | 1514 | 1490 | 1.29 | 1.28 | 143 |
| New York City FC | 0.013 | 0.148 | 1506 | 1574 | 1.27 | 1.08 | 148 |
| Nashville SC | 0.008 | 0.031 | 1504 | 1516 | 1.27 | 1.22 | 142 |
| St. Louis City | -0.012 | -0.180 | 1494 | 1410 | 1.24 | 1.51 | 104 |
| Charlotte | -0.049 | 0.126 | 1475 | 1563 | 1.20 | 1.11 | 143 |
| FC Cincinnati | -0.053 | 0.125 | 1474 | 1562 | 1.19 | 1.11 | 149 |
| New York Red Bulls | -0.054 | 0.035 | 1473 | 1518 | 1.19 | 1.21 | 145 |
| Colorado Rapids | -0.075 | -0.161 | 1463 | 1419 | 1.17 | 1.48 | 138 |
| Sporting Kansas City | -0.094 | -0.318 | 1453 | 1341 | 1.14 | 1.73 | 140 |
| Portland Timbers | -0.124 | -0.040 | 1438 | 1480 | 1.11 | 1.31 | 141 |
| Houston Dynamo | -0.127 | -0.035 | 1436 | 1482 | 1.11 | 1.30 | 143 |
| New England Revolution | -0.135 | -0.123 | 1432 | 1439 | 1.10 | 1.42 | 138 |
| Real Salt Lake | -0.172 | -0.013 | 1414 | 1494 | 1.06 | 1.27 | 143 |
| Atlanta United FC | -0.196 | -0.148 | 1402 | 1426 | 1.03 | 1.46 | 144 |
| Austin | -0.209 | -0.023 | 1395 | 1488 | 1.02 | 1.29 | 141 |
| CF Montreal | -0.213 | -0.170 | 1394 | 1415 | 1.02 | 1.49 | 139 |
| Toronto FC | -0.252 | 0.121 | 1374 | 1561 | 0.98 | 1.11 | 136 |
| DC United | -0.318 | -0.259 | 1341 | 1371 | 0.92 | 1.63 | 136 |
Atk/Def Elo = 1500 + raw × 500 -- a cosmetic rescale for familiarity, not a real unit conversion. Chess Elo's 400-point gap has a specific meaning (10:1 win odds) that goal-scoring rate has no equivalent of. The Attack/Defense columns are what the model actually computes with.
2026 over 1.5 check
P(total goals ≥ 2) for every completed match since 2026-01-01 across all 38 tracked leagues -- the mu_home + mu_away → Poisson total construction, same as over-15-card's own math, just fed by Goal Elo's ratings instead. Each prediction used only ratings built from strictly earlier matches, compared against a baseline that knows just the league's average scoring rate and home advantage, no team identity at all.
Honest read: over 1.5 is a low bar in football (the baseline alone already expects it 76% of the time), so knowing which specific teams are playing barely moves the needle here -- skill sits close to 0% pooled, unlike the real, consistent edge Attack/Defense showed on raw expected goals. The model is well calibrated (see below), it just isn't adding much information a viewer didn't already have from the league's baseline rate.
Reliability
Matches bucketed by predicted P(over 1.5); dot = actual over-1.5 rate in that bucket (size = sample). On the dashed line means perfectly calibrated.
Skill vs no-team-identity baseline
1 − (model Brier / baseline Brier). 0% = no better than ignoring which teams are playing; a negative bar means Attack/Defense info actually hurt on that league's calls.
Biggest surprises
Lowest probability the model gave to what actually happened.
- VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-05-09)model said 96% over
- CF Montreal 0-1 Inter Miami (USA - MLS, 2026-07-25)model said 93% over
- Club Brugge KV 1-0 Cercle Brugge (Belgium - Jupiler Pro League, 2026-08-23)model said 92% over
- Barcelona 1-0 Celta Vigo (Spain - La Liga, 2026-04-22)model said 92% over
- FC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-09-05)model said 92% over
- Sirius 0-1 Malmo FF (Sweden - Allsvenskan, 2026-08-31)model said 91% over
- FC Midtjylland 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland (Denmark - Superliga, 2026-03-15)model said 91% over
- Always Ready 1-0 Oriente Petrolero (Bolivia - Primera Division, 2026-04-22)model said 91% over
- Newcastle Jets 1-0 Macarthur (Australia - A-League, 2026-02-22)model said 90% over
- Al-Fateh 0-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Saudi Arabia - Pro League, 2026-03-14)model said 90% over
All predictions — USA - MLS (373)
Switch leagues with the tabs above the ratings table; newest match first.
| Date | Match | Score | P(over) | Actual | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | New York City FC v New York Red Bulls | 0-1 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-14 | San Diego v Philadelphia Union | 0-5 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | FC Dallas v Portland Timbers | 2-1 | 91% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FC | 3-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | St. Louis City v Minnesota United FC | 4-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Real Salt Lake v New York City FC | 0-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Colorado Rapids v CF Montreal | 1-0 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-13 | San Jose Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo | 1-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles Galaxy v Seattle Sounders | 1-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Chicago Fire v New England Revolution | 1-2 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Vancouver Whitecaps v Austin | 1-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Orlando City SC v Toronto FC | 3-0 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Columbus Crew v New York Red Bulls | 0-1 | 83% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-12 | DC United v Atlanta United FC | 0-0 | 78% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-12 | FC Cincinnati v Charlotte | 3-3 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Inter Miami v Nashville SC | 2-2 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-10 | New York City FC v New England Revolution | 1-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-10 | Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake | 2-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-10 | Chicago Fire v Inter Miami | 1-1 | 95% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-10 | Minnesota United FC v FC Dallas | 1-2 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-10 | Austin v Colorado Rapids | 1-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-10 | Vancouver Whitecaps v Los Angeles Galaxy | 3-0 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles FC v New York Red Bulls | 2-0 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-10 | Portland Timbers v St. Louis City | 2-2 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-10 | San Diego v San Jose Earthquakes | 2-3 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-09 | Toronto FC v Nashville SC | 2-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-09 | Atlanta United FC v Orlando City SC | 2-3 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-09 | CF Montreal v Charlotte | 1-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-09 | DC United v Columbus Crew | 2-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-09 | Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati | 5-0 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Seattle Sounders v New York Red Bulls | 0-0 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-06 | FC Dallas v Sporting Kansas City | 4-3 | 91% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Austin v San Jose Earthquakes | 1-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Los Angeles Galaxy v New England Revolution | 2-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles FC | 2-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Vancouver Whitecaps v St. Louis City | 1-3 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Portland Timbers v Minnesota United FC | 5-4 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Orlando City SC v San Diego | 1-0 | 89% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-05 | Philadelphia Union v CF Montreal | 2-0 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Toronto FC v Chicago Fire | 4-4 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Columbus Crew v Colorado Rapids | 3-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Inter Miami v Atlanta United FC | 2-2 | 94% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Charlotte v Houston Dynamo | 0-0 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-04 | New York City FC v Nashville SC | 0-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-30 | Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes | 0-0 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-30 | Sporting Kansas City v Vancouver Whitecaps | 0-3 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Minnesota United FC v Orlando City SC | 3-3 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Nashville SC v FC Cincinnati | 4-0 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake | 1-0 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-30 | Portland Timbers v Austin | 1-2 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | San Diego v Los Angeles Galaxy | 3-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Columbus Crew v New England Revolution | 1-3 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | St. Louis City v FC Dallas | 3-3 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Seattle Sounders v Chicago Fire | 2-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Toronto FC v New York City FC | 1-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union | 1-3 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Atlanta United FC v Charlotte | 0-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | DC United v Los Angeles FC | 0-0 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-29 | Inter Miami v CF Montreal | 7-1 | 93% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Nashville SC v Columbus Crew | 3-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | St. Louis City v Houston Dynamo | 2-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Austin v Philadelphia Union | 1-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Vancouver Whitecaps v FC Dallas | 5-0 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | San Jose Earthquakes v Minnesota United FC | 1-5 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Los Angeles FC v Portland Timbers | 1-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | San Diego v Colorado Rapids | 3-0 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | New England Revolution v New York City FC | 1-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Atlanta United FC v Sporting Kansas City | 2-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Orlando City SC v Real Salt Lake | 2-1 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire | 1-1 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | CF Montreal v Los Angeles Galaxy | 2-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | FC Cincinnati v Seattle Sounders | 1-1 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Inter Miami v Toronto FC | 1-2 | 92% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Charlotte v DC United | 3-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-20 | Sporting Kansas City v St. Louis City | 1-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-20 | Minnesota United FC v Atlanta United FC | 1-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-20 | Seattle Sounders v Austin | 1-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-20 | Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas | 3-4 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-20 | Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC | 1-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-20 | Vancouver Whitecaps v Houston Dynamo | 0-1 | 78% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-20 | Los Angeles Galaxy v San Jose Earthquakes | 1-0 | 83% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-20 | Portland Timbers v San Diego | 3-1 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-19 | Orlando City SC v Chicago Fire | 1-2 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-19 | Philadelphia Union v Inter Miami | 2-2 | 92% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-19 | Toronto FC v Charlotte | 3-3 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-19 | New York Red Bulls v Nashville SC | 0-1 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-19 | Columbus Crew v CF Montreal | 1-2 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-19 | DC United v New England Revolution | 0-3 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-19 | FC Cincinnati v New York City FC | 2-1 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-17 | Austin v FC Dallas | 1-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-17 | Seattle Sounders v Vancouver Whitecaps | 0-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | Houston Dynamo v Los Angeles Galaxy | 1-0 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-16 | Nashville SC v Inter Miami | 4-1 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC | 1-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City | 2-0 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | San Jose Earthquakes v St. Louis City | 1-3 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles FC v San Diego | 0-1 | 83% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-16 | New York City FC v Philadelphia Union | 2-3 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers | 2-1 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Orlando City SC v FC Cincinnati | 1-1 | 95% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Toronto FC v New England Revolution | 2-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls | 2-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | CF Montreal v DC United | 1-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Charlotte v Columbus Crew | 3-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-08 | New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo | 0-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Fire v Charlotte | 2-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-02 | Sporting Kansas City v Houston Dynamo | 0-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-02 | Minnesota United FC v San Diego | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-02 | St. Louis City v Real Salt Lake | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-02 | Colorado Rapids v Austin | 1-0 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Galaxy v FC Dallas | 0-0 | 83% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Timbers v Seattle Sounders | 2-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-01 | Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United FC | 3-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-01 | New York Red Bulls v Orlando City SC | 3-2 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-01 | Vancouver Whitecaps v Los Angeles FC | 1-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-01 | CF Montreal v New England Revolution | 2-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-01 | DC United v Nashville SC | 2-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-01 | FC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes | 4-2 | 92% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-01 | Inter Miami v Columbus Crew | 2-2 | 93% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-31 | New York City FC v Toronto FC | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-26 | Houston Dynamo v Austin | 3-0 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-26 | Minnesota United FC v Vancouver Whitecaps | 0-0 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-26 | St. Louis City v Colorado Rapids | 1-0 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-26 | San Diego v FC Dallas | 1-0 | 87% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-26 | San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles Galaxy | 1-1 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-26 | Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas City | 4-0 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-26 | Portland Timbers v Real Salt Lake | 2-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-25 | New York Red Bulls v Charlotte | 0-2 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-25 | Columbus Crew v FC Cincinnati | 2-1 | 91% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-25 | Orlando City SC v Nashville SC | 1-0 | 87% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-25 | Philadelphia Union v Seattle Sounders | 1-0 | 78% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-25 | New York City FC v Chicago Fire | 3-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-25 | New England Revolution v Atlanta United FC | 4-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-25 | CF Montreal v Inter Miami | 0-1 | 93% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-25 | DC United v Toronto FC | 2-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-23 | Charlotte v Atlanta United FC | 2-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-23 | Houston Dynamo v DC United | 1-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-23 | Sporting Kansas City v Minnesota United FC | 2-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-23 | Nashville SC v CF Montreal | 1-0 | 86% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-23 | Colorado Rapids v San Diego | 1-0 | 86% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-23 | Austin v Seattle Sounders | 3-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-23 | San Jose Earthquakes v Orlando City SC | 0-4 | 94% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-23 | Los Angeles Galaxy v St. Louis City | 1-3 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-23 | Los Angeles FC v Real Salt Lake | 3-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-23 | Portland Timbers v FC Dallas | 2-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-22 | Philadelphia Union v New York Red Bulls | 3-1 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-22 | New England Revolution v Toronto FC | 0-0 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-22 | Columbus Crew v New York City FC | 1-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-22 | FC Cincinnati v Vancouver Whitecaps | 4-3 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-22 | Inter Miami v Chicago Fire | 3-2 | 95% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-18 | Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC | 1-0 | 82% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Galaxy v Los Angeles FC | 0-3 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-17 | St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City | 3-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-17 | Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers | 1-5 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-07-16 | CF Montreal v Toronto FC | 0-0 | 84% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-25 | Los Angeles FC v Seattle Sounders | 1-0 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-24 | Chicago Fire v Toronto FC | 2-1 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Sporting Kansas City v New York Red Bulls | 1-2 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Nashville SC v New York City FC | 2-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Colorado Rapids v FC Dallas | 1-2 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Portland Timbers v San Jose Earthquakes | 1-3 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | San Diego v Vancouver Whitecaps | 2-4 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Los Angeles Galaxy v Houston Dynamo | 1-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Columbus Crew v Atlanta United FC | 2-0 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Inter Miami v Philadelphia Union | 6-4 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | St. Louis City v Austin | 3-0 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Minnesota United FC v Real Salt Lake | 1-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | DC United v CF Montreal | 4-4 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | FC Cincinnati v Orlando City SC | 6-2 | 94% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Charlotte v New England Revolution | 1-0 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-18 | Nashville SC v Los Angeles FC | 3-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Houston Dynamo v Vancouver Whitecaps | 1-0 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-17 | Austin v Sporting Kansas City | 1-2 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Seattle Sounders v Los Angeles Galaxy | 0-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Real Salt Lake v Colorado Rapids | 2-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | San Diego v FC Cincinnati | 3-3 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | San Jose Earthquakes v FC Dallas | 2-3 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Inter Miami v Portland Timbers | 2-0 | 93% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-16 | CF Montreal v Chicago Fire | 0-2 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-16 | Orlando City SC v Atlanta United FC | 1-1 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-16 | Philadelphia Union v Columbus Crew | 1-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-16 | New York Red Bulls v New York City FC | 1-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-16 | New England Revolution v Minnesota United FC | 2-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-16 | DC United v St. Louis City | 1-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-16 | Charlotte v Toronto FC | 3-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-14 | FC Dallas v Vancouver Whitecaps | 2-3 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-14 | Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles Galaxy | 3-1 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-14 | Minnesota United FC v Colorado Rapids | 0-1 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-14 | St. Louis City v Los Angeles FC | 2-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-14 | Seattle Sounders v San Jose Earthquakes | 3-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-14 | Real Salt Lake v Houston Dynamo | 3-0 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-14 | San Diego v Austin | 5-0 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-13 | Charlotte v New York City FC | 0-1 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-13 | Orlando City SC v Philadelphia Union | 4-3 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-13 | New York Red Bulls v Columbus Crew | 3-2 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-13 | New England Revolution v Nashville SC | 0-3 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-13 | CF Montreal v Portland Timbers | 2-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-13 | DC United v Chicago Fire | 1-3 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-13 | FC Cincinnati v Inter Miami | 3-5 | 92% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-11 | Los Angeles FC v Houston Dynamo | 1-4 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | FC Dallas v Real Salt Lake | 3-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Nashville SC v DC United | 2-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Colorado Rapids v St. Louis City | 0-1 | 85% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-10 | Seattle Sounders v San Diego | 1-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | San Jose Earthquakes v Vancouver Whitecaps | 1-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Portland Timbers v Sporting Kansas City | 6-0 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | New York City FC v Columbus Crew | 3-0 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Minnesota United FC v Austin | 2-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Toronto FC v Inter Miami | 2-4 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Chicago Fire v New York Red Bulls | 1-3 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | CF Montreal v Orlando City SC | 2-0 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Atlanta United FC v Los Angeles Galaxy | 1-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | New England Revolution v Philadelphia Union | 2-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Charlotte v FC Cincinnati | 2-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Houston Dynamo v Colorado Rapids | 1-0 | 84% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-03 | Chicago Fire v FC Cincinnati | 2-3 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | San Diego v Los Angeles FC | 2-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Los Angeles Galaxy v Vancouver Whitecaps | 1-1 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | New York City FC v DC United | 0-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Austin v St. Louis City | 2-0 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Toronto FC v San Jose Earthquakes | 1-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Sporting Kansas City v Seattle Sounders | 1-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Real Salt Lake v Portland Timbers | 2-0 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Inter Miami v Orlando City SC | 3-4 | 94% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Philadelphia Union v Nashville SC | 0-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-02 | New York Red Bulls v FC Dallas | 0-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Atlanta United FC v CF Montreal | 3-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | New England Revolution v Charlotte | 1-0 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-02 | Columbus Crew v Minnesota United FC | 2-3 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Chicago Fire v Sporting Kansas City | 5-0 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Nashville SC v Charlotte | 4-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Austin v Houston Dynamo | 2-0 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | St. Louis City v San Jose Earthquakes | 2-3 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | San Diego v Portland Timbers | 1-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Seattle Sounders v FC Dallas | 2-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Vancouver Whitecaps v Colorado Rapids | 3-1 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Los Angeles Galaxy v Real Salt Lake | 2-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Toronto FC v Atlanta United FC | 1-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | CF Montreal v New York City FC | 1-0 | 84% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-25 | Minnesota United FC v Los Angeles FC | 0-1 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-25 | Columbus Crew v Philadelphia Union | 2-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | DC United v Orlando City SC | 3-2 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | FC Cincinnati v New York Red Bulls | 2-0 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Inter Miami v New England Revolution | 1-1 | 91% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-23 | FC Dallas v Minnesota United FC | 0-1 | 82% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-23 | Houston Dynamo v San Diego | 1-0 | 84% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-23 | Real Salt Lake v Inter Miami | 0-2 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-23 | San Jose Earthquakes v Austin | 5-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-23 | Los Angeles FC v Colorado Rapids | 0-0 | 88% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-22 | Orlando City SC v Charlotte | 4-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-22 | Toronto FC v Philadelphia Union | 3-3 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-22 | New York Red Bulls v DC United | 4-4 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-22 | New York City FC v FC Cincinnati | 4-4 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-22 | Columbus Crew v Los Angeles Galaxy | 2-1 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-22 | Atlanta United FC v New England Revolution | 1-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | FC Dallas v Los Angeles Galaxy | 2-2 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | Minnesota United FC v Portland Timbers | 2-0 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | Seattle Sounders v St. Louis City | 4-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | Real Salt Lake v San Diego | 4-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | Los Angeles FC v San Jose Earthquakes | 1-4 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | Vancouver Whitecaps v Sporting Kansas City | 3-0 | 91% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | Toronto FC v Austin | 3-3 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | CF Montreal v New York Red Bulls | 4-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | Colorado Rapids v Inter Miami | 2-3 | 92% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | Orlando City SC v Houston Dynamo | 0-1 | 88% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-18 | Philadelphia Union v DC United | 0-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-18 | New York City FC v Charlotte | 1-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | Atlanta United FC v Nashville SC | 0-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | New England Revolution v Columbus Crew | 2-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | FC Cincinnati v Chicago Fire | 3-3 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | FC Dallas v St. Louis City | 1-1 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Chicago Fire v Atlanta United FC | 1-0 | 84% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-12 | Sporting Kansas City v San Jose Earthquakes | 1-3 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Colorado Rapids v Houston Dynamo | 6-2 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | San Diego v Minnesota United FC | 1-2 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Columbus Crew v Orlando City SC | 1-1 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Toronto FC v FC Cincinnati | 1-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | CF Montreal v Philadelphia Union | 1-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Austin v Los Angeles Galaxy | 1-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Portland Timbers v Los Angeles FC | 2-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Vancouver Whitecaps v New York City FC | 2-0 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | New England Revolution v DC United | 1-0 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-11 | Inter Miami v New York Red Bulls | 2-2 | 92% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Charlotte v Nashville SC | 1-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | Houston Dynamo v Seattle Sounders | 0-1 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-05 | Chicago Fire v Nashville SC | 1-0 | 82% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-05 | Los Angeles FC v Orlando City SC | 6-0 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | San Jose Earthquakes v San Diego | 3-0 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | Vancouver Whitecaps v Portland Timbers | 3-2 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | Los Angeles Galaxy v Minnesota United FC | 1-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Toronto FC v Colorado Rapids | 3-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Real Salt Lake v Sporting Kansas City | 3-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | New England Revolution v CF Montreal | 3-0 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | New York Red Bulls v FC Cincinnati | 4-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | New York City FC v St. Louis City | 1-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Atlanta United FC v Columbus Crew | 1-3 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | DC United v FC Dallas | 0-4 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Inter Miami v Austin | 2-2 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Charlotte v Philadelphia Union | 2-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | FC Dallas v Houston Dynamo | 4-3 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Sporting Kansas City v Colorado Rapids | 1-4 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | St. Louis City v New England Revolution | 3-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Austin v Los Angeles FC | 0-0 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-22 | Vancouver Whitecaps v San Jose Earthquakes | 0-1 | 87% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-22 | New York City FC v Inter Miami | 2-3 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | FC Cincinnati v CF Montreal | 4-3 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Minnesota United FC v Seattle Sounders | 0-0 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-22 | Portland Timbers v Los Angeles Galaxy | 1-1 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | San Diego v Real Salt Lake | 2-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Toronto FC v Columbus Crew | 2-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Philadelphia Union v Chicago Fire | 1-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Nashville SC v Orlando City SC | 5-0 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | Atlanta United FC v DC United | 0-0 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-21 | Charlotte v New York Red Bulls | 6-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | FC Dallas v San Diego | 3-3 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Houston Dynamo v Portland Timbers | 3-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Chicago Fire v DC United | 1-2 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Los Angeles Galaxy v Sporting Kansas City | 1-2 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Real Salt Lake v Austin | 2-1 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Los Angeles FC v St. Louis City | 2-0 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | New England Revolution v FC Cincinnati | 6-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Vancouver Whitecaps v Minnesota United FC | 6-0 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | San Jose Earthquakes v Seattle Sounders | 0-1 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-14 | Toronto FC v New York Red Bulls | 1-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Atlanta United FC v Philadelphia Union | 3-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Columbus Crew v Nashville SC | 0-1 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-14 | Orlando City SC v CF Montreal | 2-1 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | New York City FC v Colorado Rapids | 3-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Charlotte v Inter Miami | 0-0 | 87% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-08 | Philadelphia Union v San Jose Earthquakes | 0-1 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-08 | Atlanta United FC v Real Salt Lake | 2-3 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Columbus Crew v Chicago Fire | 0-0 | 88% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-08 | Charlotte v Austin | 3-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Sporting Kansas City v San Diego | 0-1 | 84% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-08 | Nashville SC v Minnesota United FC | 3-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | St. Louis City v Seattle Sounders | 0-1 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-08 | Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles Galaxy | 4-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Los Angeles FC v FC Dallas | 1-0 | 83% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-08 | Portland Timbers v Vancouver Whitecaps | 1-4 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | New York Red Bulls v CF Montreal | 0-3 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | FC Cincinnati v Toronto FC | 0-1 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-07 | New York City FC v Orlando City SC | 5-0 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | DC United v Inter Miami | 1-2 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-02 | Orlando City SC v Inter Miami | 2-4 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-02 | San Diego v St. Louis City | 2-0 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | San Jose Earthquakes v Atlanta United FC | 2-0 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Real Salt Lake v Seattle Sounders | 2-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | FC Dallas v Nashville SC | 0-0 | 82% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-01 | Houston Dynamo v Los Angeles FC | 0-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Sporting Kansas City v Columbus Crew | 2-2 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Vancouver Whitecaps v Toronto FC | 3-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Los Angeles Galaxy v Charlotte | 3-0 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Austin v DC United | 1-0 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-01 | Philadelphia Union v New York City FC | 1-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | New York Red Bulls v New England Revolution | 1-0 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-28 | Chicago Fire v CF Montreal | 3-0 | 87% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Colorado Rapids v Portland Timbers | 2-0 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Minnesota United FC v FC Cincinnati | 1-0 | 77% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-23 | Los Angeles Galaxy v New York City FC | 1-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-23 | Seattle Sounders v Colorado Rapids | 2-0 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Orlando City SC v New York Red Bulls | 1-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Vancouver Whitecaps v Real Salt Lake | 1-0 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-22 | DC United v Philadelphia Union | 1-0 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-22 | FC Dallas v Toronto FC | 3-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Houston Dynamo v Chicago Fire | 2-1 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Nashville SC v New England Revolution | 4-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Austin v Minnesota United FC | 2-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Los Angeles FC v Inter Miami | 3-0 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | San Jose Earthquakes v Sporting Kansas City | 3-0 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Portland Timbers v Columbus Crew | 3-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | San Diego v CF Montreal | 5-0 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | St. Louis City v Charlotte | 1-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | FC Cincinnati v Atlanta United FC | 2-0 | 78% | over | ✓ |