Goal Elo
monitoring only -- not used by any card's picksAn attack/defense Elo variant tracking goal-scoring and goal-conceding strength independently of win/loss. Each team's Attack and Defense sit on a log scale where 0 is exactly league average; ratings update after every match from the gap between actual and expected goals. See scripts/goal_elo/goal_elo.py for the model.
Ratings
25 teams · K=0.025 · league avg 1.268 goals/team/match · home advantage +0.212 log-units (~24%) · seasons 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 · generated 2026-09-19 10:32 UTC
Dot size = matches played (a small dot is a partial-season sample -- promoted/relegated sides). Color is combined attack+defense strength, green (strong) to red (weak). Labeled: top 3 by attack, top 3 by defense.
| Team | Attack | Defense | Atk Elo | Def Elo | GF vs avg defense | GA vs avg attack | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV | 0.728 | 0.272 | 1864 | 1636 | 2.63 | 0.97 | 160 |
| Union St. Gilloise | 0.206 | 0.598 | 1603 | 1799 | 1.56 | 0.70 | 160 |
| Anderlecht | 0.155 | -0.057 | 1578 | 1472 | 1.48 | 1.34 | 153 |
| St. Truiden | 0.151 | 0.171 | 1576 | 1586 | 1.48 | 1.07 | 150 |
| Cercle Brugge | 0.113 | -0.138 | 1557 | 1431 | 1.42 | 1.46 | 154 |
| Zulte Waregem | 0.107 | -0.050 | 1554 | 1475 | 1.41 | 1.33 | 70 |
| Genk | 0.087 | 0.152 | 1543 | 1576 | 1.38 | 1.09 | 162 |
| Lommel United | 0.080 | 0.031 | 1540 | 1515 | 1.37 | 1.23 | 8 |
| KVC Westerlo | -0.008 | -0.035 | 1496 | 1483 | 1.26 | 1.31 | 160 |
| Patro Eisden | -0.019 | -0.122 | 1491 | 1439 | 1.24 | 1.43 | 4 |
| Charleroi | -0.036 | 0.159 | 1482 | 1580 | 1.22 | 1.08 | 150 |
| Liège | -0.046 | -0.053 | 1477 | 1474 | 1.21 | 1.34 | 2 |
| KV Mechelen | -0.047 | -0.079 | 1477 | 1461 | 1.21 | 1.37 | 153 |
| Oostende | -0.060 | -0.136 | 1470 | 1432 | 1.19 | 1.45 | 34 |
| Gent | -0.073 | 0.070 | 1464 | 1535 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 162 |
| RWDM | -0.092 | -0.195 | 1454 | 1402 | 1.16 | 1.54 | 36 |
| Kortrijk | -0.093 | -0.098 | 1453 | 1451 | 1.15 | 1.40 | 108 |
| Beerschot VA | -0.098 | -0.178 | 1451 | 1411 | 1.15 | 1.52 | 40 |
| Seraing United | -0.116 | -0.091 | 1442 | 1455 | 1.13 | 1.39 | 34 |
| Antwerp | -0.139 | 0.112 | 1431 | 1556 | 1.10 | 1.13 | 161 |
| RAAL La Louvière | -0.178 | -0.056 | 1411 | 1472 | 1.06 | 1.34 | 36 |
| Standard Liege | -0.186 | 0.230 | 1407 | 1615 | 1.05 | 1.01 | 159 |
| OH Leuven | -0.209 | -0.021 | 1396 | 1489 | 1.03 | 1.30 | 154 |
| AS Eupen | -0.211 | -0.110 | 1395 | 1445 | 1.03 | 1.42 | 70 |
| Dender | -0.221 | -0.174 | 1389 | 1413 | 1.02 | 1.51 | 78 |
Atk/Def Elo = 1500 + raw × 500 -- a cosmetic rescale for familiarity, not a real unit conversion. Chess Elo's 400-point gap has a specific meaning (10:1 win odds) that goal-scoring rate has no equivalent of. The Attack/Defense columns are what the model actually computes with.
2026 over 1.5 check
P(total goals ≥ 2) for every completed match since 2026-01-01 across all 38 tracked leagues -- the mu_home + mu_away → Poisson total construction, same as over-15-card's own math, just fed by Goal Elo's ratings instead. Each prediction used only ratings built from strictly earlier matches, compared against a baseline that knows just the league's average scoring rate and home advantage, no team identity at all.
Honest read: over 1.5 is a low bar in football (the baseline alone already expects it 76% of the time), so knowing which specific teams are playing barely moves the needle here -- skill sits close to 0% pooled, unlike the real, consistent edge Attack/Defense showed on raw expected goals. The model is well calibrated (see below), it just isn't adding much information a viewer didn't already have from the league's baseline rate.
Reliability
Matches bucketed by predicted P(over 1.5); dot = actual over-1.5 rate in that bucket (size = sample). On the dashed line means perfectly calibrated.
Skill vs no-team-identity baseline
1 − (model Brier / baseline Brier). 0% = no better than ignoring which teams are playing; a negative bar means Attack/Defense info actually hurt on that league's calls.
Biggest surprises
Lowest probability the model gave to what actually happened.
- VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-05-09)model said 96% over
- CF Montreal 0-1 Inter Miami (USA - MLS, 2026-07-25)model said 93% over
- Club Brugge KV 1-0 Cercle Brugge (Belgium - Jupiler Pro League, 2026-08-23)model said 92% over
- Barcelona 1-0 Celta Vigo (Spain - La Liga, 2026-04-22)model said 92% over
- FC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern München (Germany - Bundesliga, 2026-09-05)model said 92% over
- Sirius 0-1 Malmo FF (Sweden - Allsvenskan, 2026-08-31)model said 91% over
- FC Midtjylland 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland (Denmark - Superliga, 2026-03-15)model said 91% over
- Always Ready 1-0 Oriente Petrolero (Bolivia - Primera Division, 2026-04-22)model said 91% over
- Newcastle Jets 1-0 Macarthur (Australia - A-League, 2026-02-22)model said 90% over
- Al-Fateh 0-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Saudi Arabia - Pro League, 2026-03-14)model said 90% over
All predictions — Belgium - Jupiler Pro League (216)
Switch leagues with the tabs above the ratings table; newest match first.
| Date | Match | Score | P(over) | Actual | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Gent v Standard Liege | 2-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Club Brugge KV v Antwerp | 3-1 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Genk v Gent | 1-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Zulte Waregem v Charleroi | 0-1 | 78% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-13 | RAAL La Louvière v Kortrijk | 3-0 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | SK Beveren v St. Truiden | 2-0 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | KVC Westerlo v Standard Liege | 4-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | OH Leuven v Cercle Brugge | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | Union St. Gilloise v Lommel United | 5-0 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-11 | KV Mechelen v Anderlecht | 0-1 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-06 | Cercle Brugge v Gent | 0-3 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Kortrijk v Zulte Waregem | 0-2 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Anderlecht v Genk | 0-0 | 82% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-06 | SK Beveren v OH Leuven | 3-0 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Charleroi v Union St. Gilloise | 2-3 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | KV Mechelen v KVC Westerlo | 0-4 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Standard Liege v Antwerp | 1-0 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-05 | St. Truiden v RAAL La Louvière | 4-0 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-09-04 | Lommel United v Club Brugge KV | 0-1 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-03 | Anderlecht v Kortrijk | 1-0 | 82% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-03 | Gent v OH Leuven | 1-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-09-02 | St. Truiden v Union St. Gilloise | 0-3 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Gent v Club Brugge KV | 2-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Antwerp v St. Truiden | 1-4 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | Union St. Gilloise v Anderlecht | 3-0 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | KVC Westerlo v Zulte Waregem | 2-2 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | RAAL La Louvière v KV Mechelen | 2-2 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Kortrijk v Charleroi | 1-3 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | OH Leuven v Standard Liege | 1-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | Cercle Brugge v Lommel United | 0-1 | 82% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-28 | Genk v SK Beveren | 4-0 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Lommel United v KVC Westerlo | 4-0 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-23 | Club Brugge KV v Cercle Brugge | 1-0 | 92% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-22 | Zulte Waregem v SK Beveren | 4-0 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Charleroi v KV Mechelen | 2-0 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | Antwerp v Genk | 4-4 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-21 | Standard Liege v RAAL La Louvière | 2-0 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | SK Beveren v Anderlecht | 1-0 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-16 | RAAL La Louvière v Gent | 1-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | KV Mechelen v Standard Liege | 3-3 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-16 | Lommel United v Charleroi | 0-1 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-15 | Union St. Gilloise v Zulte Waregem | 0-0 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-08-15 | Kortrijk v Antwerp | 0-3 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | OH Leuven v Club Brugge KV | 0-3 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | Genk v KVC Westerlo | 3-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | Cercle Brugge v St. Truiden | 3-3 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-09 | Gent v KV Mechelen | 2-0 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-09 | Zulte Waregem v Genk | 2-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-09 | Charleroi v OH Leuven | 3-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-09 | Anderlecht v RAAL La Louvière | 2-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-09 | Antwerp v SK Beveren | 2-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-08 | Standard Liege v Cercle Brugge | 2-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-08 | KVC Westerlo v Union St. Gilloise | 1-5 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-08 | St. Truiden v Lommel United | 1-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-08-07 | Club Brugge KV v Kortrijk | 3-0 | 89% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-31 | Gent v Genk | 1-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Club Brugge KV v Gent | 5-0 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | St. Truiden v KV Mechelen | 3-0 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | Union St. Gilloise v Anderlecht | 5-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Dender v Lommel United | 0-0 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-23 | OH Leuven v Genk | 0-2 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Standard Liege v Charleroi | 0-2 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | Antwerp v KVC Westerlo | 2-0 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-21 | KV Mechelen v Club Brugge KV | 2-2 | 90% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-21 | Anderlecht v St. Truiden | 3-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-21 | Gent v Union St. Gilloise | 0-0 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-19 | KVC Westerlo v Standard Liege | 1-2 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-19 | Charleroi v OH Leuven | 1-1 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-19 | Genk v Antwerp | 0-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-17 | Anderlecht v KV Mechelen | 2-2 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Lommel United v Dender | 3-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | Club Brugge KV v Union St. Gilloise | 5-0 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-16 | Charleroi v KVC Westerlo | 0-1 | 76% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-16 | Standard Liege v Genk | 0-0 | 70% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-16 | St. Truiden v Gent | 1-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-15 | OH Leuven v Antwerp | 3-0 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Gent v Anderlecht | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Antwerp v Charleroi | 0-1 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-10 | Union St. Gilloise v KV Mechelen | 3-0 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | Genk v KVC Westerlo | 3-0 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Zulte Waregem v Dender | 2-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | RAAL La Louvière v Cercle Brugge | 4-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Beerschot VA v Lommel United | 1-3 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | Club Brugge KV v St. Truiden | 2-0 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-08 | Standard Liege v OH Leuven | 2-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | KV Mechelen v Gent | 1-0 | 78% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-05-03 | Antwerp v Standard Liege | 0-5 | 61% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Anderlecht v Club Brugge KV | 1-3 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-03 | Dender v RAAL La Louvière | 2-1 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | KVC Westerlo v OH Leuven | 3-3 | 72% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Charleroi v Genk | 2-0 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | Lommel United v Beerschot VA | 3-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-02 | St. Truiden v Union St. Gilloise | 2-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-05-01 | Cercle Brugge v Zulte Waregem | 2-3 | 84% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-27 | Beerschot VA v Patro Eisden | 3-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-27 | Liège v Lommel United | 1-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Gent v Club Brugge KV | 0-2 | 88% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | KV Mechelen v St. Truiden | 1-4 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Anderlecht v Union St. Gilloise | 1-3 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-26 | Zulte Waregem v RAAL La Louvière | 4-0 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | OH Leuven v Charleroi | 0-2 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | Genk v Standard Liege | 1-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-25 | KVC Westerlo v Antwerp | 2-4 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-24 | Cercle Brugge v Dender | 2-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-23 | Lommel United v Liège | 3-0 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-23 | Patro Eisden v Beerschot VA | 1-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-23 | St. Truiden v Anderlecht | 2-0 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-22 | Club Brugge KV v KV Mechelen | 6-1 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-22 | Union St. Gilloise v Gent | 0-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-21 | OH Leuven v KVC Westerlo | 0-2 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-21 | Standard Liege v Antwerp | 1-2 | 56% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-21 | Genk v Charleroi | 1-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | Gent v St. Truiden | 0-0 | 82% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-19 | Dender v Cercle Brugge | 1-4 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | Union St. Gilloise v Club Brugge KV | 2-1 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-19 | RAAL La Louvière v Zulte Waregem | 0-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | Antwerp v OH Leuven | 2-0 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | KVC Westerlo v Genk | 1-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | Charleroi v Standard Liege | 1-2 | 63% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-18 | KV Mechelen v Anderlecht | 1-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | KV Mechelen v Union St. Gilloise | 0-1 | 65% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-12 | Genk v OH Leuven | 0-0 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-12 | Anderlecht v Gent | 3-1 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-12 | Dender v Zulte Waregem | 1-2 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Cercle Brugge v RAAL La Louvière | 3-0 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | Standard Liege v KVC Westerlo | 1-2 | 60% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | St. Truiden v Club Brugge KV | 1-2 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-10 | Charleroi v Antwerp | 2-1 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-06 | Club Brugge KV v Anderlecht | 4-2 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-06 | RAAL La Louvière v Dender | 0-1 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-06 | Gent v KV Mechelen | 1-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-05 | KVC Westerlo v Charleroi | 2-0 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Zulte Waregem v Cercle Brugge | 2-2 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | OH Leuven v Standard Liege | 1-3 | 56% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-04-04 | Union St. Gilloise v St. Truiden | 1-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-04-03 | Antwerp v Genk | 1-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | OH Leuven v Antwerp | 1-0 | 63% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-22 | Anderlecht v Cercle Brugge | 2-3 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Club Brugge KV v KV Mechelen | 4-1 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Zulte Waregem v Charleroi | 1-0 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-22 | Standard Liege v KVC Westerlo | 0-0 | 62% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-22 | St. Truiden v Union St. Gilloise | 1-3 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | RAAL La Louvière v Genk | 5-5 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-22 | Dender v Gent | 1-3 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | Genk v St. Truiden | 1-0 | 81% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-15 | Antwerp v Standard Liege | 1-1 | 56% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-15 | KV Mechelen v Anderlecht | 1-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-15 | Cercle Brugge v RAAL La Louvière | 1-3 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Charleroi v OH Leuven | 0-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | Union St. Gilloise v Dender | 2-0 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-14 | KVC Westerlo v Club Brugge KV | 1-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-13 | Gent v Zulte Waregem | 2-0 | 85% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Club Brugge KV v Anderlecht | 2-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Gent v KV Mechelen | 3-1 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-08 | Zulte Waregem v Standard Liege | 0-1 | 70% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-08 | St. Truiden v Cercle Brugge | 2-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | OH Leuven v KVC Westerlo | 0-1 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-07 | Dender v Charleroi | 2-2 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | Union St. Gilloise v Genk | 2-1 | 71% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-06 | RAAL La Louvière v Antwerp | 0-0 | 61% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-01 | Genk v Gent | 3-0 | 83% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | KVC Westerlo v Union St. Gilloise | 0-0 | 70% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-03-01 | Charleroi v Club Brugge KV | 1-2 | 82% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-03-01 | Cercle Brugge v Dender | 0-0 | 80% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-28 | KV Mechelen v Zulte Waregem | 2-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | Antwerp v St. Truiden | 1-0 | 74% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-28 | Anderlecht v OH Leuven | 5-1 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-27 | Standard Liege v RAAL La Louvière | 1-1 | 55% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Genk v Standard Liege | 0-3 | 69% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | RAAL La Louvière v KV Mechelen | 0-2 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | Zulte Waregem v Anderlecht | 2-4 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-22 | KVC Westerlo v Charleroi | 2-1 | 77% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Dender v St. Truiden | 1-4 | 79% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Club Brugge KV v OH Leuven | 2-1 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-21 | Union St. Gilloise v Antwerp | 2-1 | 64% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-20 | Gent v Cercle Brugge | 0-1 | 85% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-15 | Cercle Brugge v Club Brugge KV | 1-2 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Antwerp v KVC Westerlo | 0-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-15 | Anderlecht v RAAL La Louvière | 0-0 | 66% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-15 | St. Truiden v Zulte Waregem | 3-2 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | OH Leuven v Dender | 3-2 | 67% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Charleroi v Gent | 2-3 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-14 | Standard Liege v Union St. Gilloise | 1-1 | 57% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-13 | KV Mechelen v Genk | 2-3 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Genk v Anderlecht | 2-0 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Union St. Gilloise v RAAL La Louvière | 2-1 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | Club Brugge KV v Standard Liege | 3-0 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-08 | KV Mechelen v Antwerp | 2-0 | 68% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-07 | Zulte Waregem v Dender | 1-0 | 79% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-07 | Charleroi v Cercle Brugge | 3-4 | 75% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-07 | Gent v OH Leuven | 1-3 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-06 | KVC Westerlo v St. Truiden | 0-4 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-01 | Standard Liege v Anderlecht | 2-0 | 60% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-01 | Dender v Genk | 1-2 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-02-01 | Union St. Gilloise v Club Brugge KV | 1-0 | 75% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-02-01 | OH Leuven v KV Mechelen | 2-2 | 62% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-31 | Cercle Brugge v Antwerp | 0-4 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-31 | Zulte Waregem v KVC Westerlo | 0-1 | 83% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-31 | St. Truiden v Charleroi | 0-2 | 74% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-30 | RAAL La Louvière v Gent | 1-1 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | Antwerp v Charleroi | 0-2 | 66% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | Genk v Cercle Brugge | 1-1 | 78% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | Anderlecht v Dender | 0-0 | 78% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-25 | KV Mechelen v KVC Westerlo | 1-1 | 76% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | RAAL La Louvière v St. Truiden | 1-2 | 70% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | Club Brugge KV v Zulte Waregem | 4-3 | 86% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-24 | OH Leuven v Union St. Gilloise | 0-0 | 63% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-23 | Standard Liege v Gent | 0-4 | 65% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-18 | Gent v Anderlecht | 4-2 | 73% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-18 | Dender v Antwerp | 1-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-18 | Charleroi v Standard Liege | 2-0 | 60% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-18 | St. Truiden v OH Leuven | 1-0 | 73% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-17 | Zulte Waregem v Genk | 2-1 | 80% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-17 | KVC Westerlo v Cercle Brugge | 0-2 | 81% | over | ✓ |
| 2026-01-17 | Union St. Gilloise v KV Mechelen | 1-0 | 71% | under | ✗ |
| 2026-01-16 | Club Brugge KV v RAAL La Louvière | 2-3 | 76% | over | ✓ |